Mark Strotman

Mark Strotman

NBA

Performance

Sport Last 7 Days Last 30 Days Current Season Past Season
NBA 7-7 (-77) 157-142 ATS (52.5%) L299; 98-68 (59.1%) OU L166 157-142 ATS (52.5%) L299; 98-68 (59.1%) OU L166

About Mark Strotman

Mark Strotman is a veteran sports journalist who has covered the Chicago Bulls and the NBA for NBC Sports Chicago since 2012. His work has also appeared on ESPN.com, FoxSports.com, The Chicago Tribune, Yahoo Sports and NBC Sports. He covered the NBA Playoffs in 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2017 as well as Team USA Basketball in 2014 and 2016. He has also covered high school football and was nominated for a Midwest Emmy in 2016 for his work on a documentary featuring local Chicago product and NFL prospect Miles Boykin. Strotman graduated from Marquette University in 2012 and during his time there reported on the men’s basketball team, covering both the Big East Tournament and NCAA Tournament in 2011 and 2012.

Mark Strotman's Picks

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NBA
Hawks at Bucks
NBA
Bucks-Hawks Total
NBA
Clippers-Suns Spread
NBA
Clippers-Suns total
PAST PICKS
NBA
Spread
Bucks over Hawks
Loss
Bucks
-110
The Hawks are 6-4 ATS as an underdog in the postseason, while the Bucks are 6-4 as a home favorite in the playoffs. Something’s got to give, and we’re giving the advantage to the favorites. It’s a significant spread, but the Bucks at home are a different beast. Atlanta has outperformed its expectations, and it could very well make this a series, but the Bucks are going to come out strong in Game 1. Grab the Bucks -7 in Game 1 at -110.
NBA
Over/Under
Bucks-Hawks Under
Loss
Under 226.5
-109
The Hawks played two elite defenses to begin the postseason in knocking off the Knicks and Sixers. Now they face a Bucks offense that has all the makings of an elite offense but largely struggled against Brooklyn’s porous defense in the second round. We’re leaning toward a low-scoring affair in Game 1 as both teams get a feel for how the rest of the series will play out. Grab the under at 226.5, locked in at -109.
NBA
Spread
Suns over Clippers
Loss
Suns
-112
Few teams can lose their All-NBA, future Hall of Fame point guard and actually look better than they did with him. That’s not to say Phoenix won’t welcome back Chris Paul with open arms when he’s eventually cleared, but it speaks to just how well this team plays together. Devin Booker as a “back-up” option to CP3 is a nice luxury. Until Monty Williams’ group gives us a reason to pick against them, we’re not doing it. We’re on the Suns -4.5 here at -112.
NBA
Over/Under
Suns-Clippers Over
Loss
Under
-113
Oddsmakers bumped this total up a whopping five points from Game 1, and it makes sense after we saw what Phoenix’s offense did without Chris Paul. But it’s a pretty significant swing for a matchup that includes two elite defenses. Where do we lean? Offenses reigning supreme once again, with the over — this time at 223 — hitting with ease again. We like the Over at -113.
NBA
Spread
Hawks ATS over Sixers
Win
ATL
-110
The Hawks might be the most impressive team in the postseason thus far, knocking off the Knicks in five games and going the distance with the Sixers. They’ve already won twice in Philadelphia - though Game 5 needed an epic collapse by the Sixers - and we think this game will once again come down to the last few possessions in the fourth quarter. That means a cover for the Hawks - and maybe even a win. We’ll stick with Atlanta +7 here.
NBA
Spread
Suns ATS over Clippers
Win
Over
-110
Phoenix has plenty of firepower even with Chris Paul out due to COVID-19 protocols. Then again, the Clippers also showed they’re just fine playing without one of their stars, beating the Jazz twice without Kawhi Leonard to advance. We’re on board with the home team here, as the Suns haven’t given us any reason not to pick them of late. Grab Phoenix -4.
NBA
Over/Under
Suns vs Clippers Over
Win
Over
-110
No Kawhi Leonard hurts the Clips on both ends of the floor, but their offense has proven to be just fine with the emergence of Reggie Jackson and Terance Mann. What will the Suns look like without Chris Paul to lead the offense and clamp down defensively? Both these offenses are so efficient right now that it’s hard to see this one go low. We’re grabbing the over at 223.5.
NBA
Spread
Nets ATS over Bucks
Loss
Nets
-110
The Bucks are a different team at home and showed it with a wire-to-wire victory in Game 6. The Nets are also expected to be without Kyrie Irving for Game 7, though James Harden was back to his (almost) usual self with 16 efficient points in 39 minutes. What will we get in Game 7? We’re betting on Kevin Durant having a legacy game in front of the home crowd. He might shoot 40 times but that’s what it will take to beat the Bucks and move to the conference finals. We’re on the Nets -1.
NBA
Over/Under
Nets-Bucks Over
Win
Over
-110
Will this series ever go over? Six straight unders as the total continues to shrink, with both teams locking up their defenses while playing primarily in the half court. But we can’t get over how good these offenses are when they’re connecting and in rhythm. Will we finally get an over? Yes, we will. Oddsmakers have shrunk this total down, but even in a Game 7 this game will be played near the 110s. Grab the over at 215.5.
NBA
Spread
Jazz ATS over Clippers
Loss
Jazz
-110
The Clippers needed a masterful performance from Paul George in Game 5 to even have a chance against the Jazz, and they wound up getting it (and a win). But losing Kawhi Leonard is such a massive blow that we’re not going to overreact to that Game 5 result. This is still a Utah team with tons of firepower and, perhaps most importantly, health. With their backs up against the wall, the team that won 52 games in the regular season will figure it out and force Game 7. We like the Jazz -2 on the road.
NBA
Over/Under
Clippers-Jazz Over
Win
Over
-110
The Jazz need a victory, and to do so this year they’ve relied on their 3-point shooting. We’re expecting Paul George to do some more heavy lifting for the Clippers, but how much can he do without Leonard as his No. 2 option? We think he can do enough to help push this total over for a second straight game. Grab the over at 223.5.
NBA
Spread
Sixers ATS over Hawks
Win
Sixers
-110
Philly really isn’t going to go out like this, are they? The Hawks have tons of momentum and will be playing at home in Game 6, but the Sixers are still the more talented team here. Something’s got to give, which is why the spread is as small as it is. We think Joel Embiid has a game for the ages and brings the series back to Philly for a Game 7. Grab the Sixers -3.
NBA
Spread
Bucks ATS over Nets
Win
Bucks
-110
James Harden played 46 minutes in Game 5 but it’s clear he’s not 100%, and it took an historically good performance from Kevin Durant for the Nets to just barely squeak by at home. Assuming all health is the same heading into Game 6, this is a game the Bucks should win. It’ll be on the shoulders of Giannis to get it done, but those are some pretty broad shoulders. This one’s going the distance, with the Bucks earning a big Game 6 win. We’re on the Bucks -3.5.
NBA
Over/Under
Bucks-Nets Over
Loss
Over
-110
The under just keeps hitting in this series (some folks who got in early hit the over in Game 5) and we can’t seem to figure out why two incredible offenses just can’t seem to put it together. Solid defense is certainly playing a part, but good offense beats good defense in today’s NBA. So what happens in Game 6? Role players finally show up and the over hits with ease. Grab it at 220.5.
NBA
Spread
Clippers ATS over Jazz
Win
Clippers
-110
The Clippers looked very convincing in big Game 3 and 4 wins to even the series. But the Jazz are lethal at home. So something has to give in what looks like a series going seven games. We believe the Clippers have unlocked something on defense that will remain in Utah, meaning they cover the +2.5.
NBA
Spread
Sixers ATS over Hawks
Loss
Sixers
-110
A credit to the Atlanta Hawks, who put up a ton of fight in a come-from-behind Game 4 win. Now the series moves back to Philadelphia, where Atlanta won Game 1 before being blown out in Game 2. And though the Hawks have played evenly through four games, talent is going to win out here. The Sixers can make a statement and we believe they will with a convincing home win. We’re on the Sixers -6.
NBA
Over/Under
Sixers-Hawks Over
Loss
Over
-110
Another tough one to get a read on after the first four games have gone back and forth hitting the over and under. Oddsmakers have dropped the total a few points from where it was in previous games, but did they go too far? We think so. A tight game means late free throws, which will help push it over 223.5.
NBA
Spread
Bucks ATS over Nets
Loss
Bucks
-110
The tables have turned thanks to Kyrie Irving’s ankle. The All-Star point guard has been ruled out for Game 5, and James Harden is also out. Can Kevin Durant do it all on his own? We’re about to find out. What’s more likely is the Bucks take this momentum they currently have and push forward past a team that simply can’t stay healthy. This was Brooklyn’s Achilles’ heel all season, and it’s rearing its ugly head at an awful time. We’re on the Bucks -3.
NBA
Over/Under
Nets-Bucks Over
Win
Over
-110
Two of the great offenses in basketball are suddenly playing low-scoring games, and Kyrie Irving’s absence has dropped this total a half dozen points in the blink of an eye. But have oddsmakers overcorrected? We think they have. Both these offenses can still score with ease and we’re guessing Brooklyn tries to push the tempo so they aren’t forced to score in the halfcourt as much. We’re on the over at 218.5.
NBA
Spread
Clippers ATS over Jazz
Win
Clippers
-110
The Jazz are the NBA’s top seed but the Clippers looked great in a Game 3 victory at home. The Jazz have lost back-to-back games just five times all season but if Kawhi Leonard is asserting himself as the best player in the series, it’s tough to think Utah will be able to slow him down. This series is going seven games, starting with the Clips covering -3 in Game 4.
NBA
Spread
Sixers ATS over Hawks
Loss
Sixers
-110
The Hawks blitzed the Sixers in Game 1 and came away with a shocking win, but it’s been all Sixers in the two games since. We think it continues in Game 4. The Atlanta defense has had a difficult time slowing Joel Embiid or anyone else inside on the Sixers. That’s Philadelphia’s game plan (they shot 62% from 2-point range in Game 3), and it doesn’t feel like an adjustment the Hawks could account for. Philly keeps rolling and takes Game 4 with ease. We’re grabbing the Sixers -3.
NBA
Over/Under
Hawks-Sixers Over
Loss
Over
-110
Points continue to come in bunches in this series and yet oddsmakers haven’t shifted the total at all. Is there some regression coming to the Sixers’ hot shooting? Will Trae Young and the Hawks offense eventually slow down? We’re betting against that. This series features too much good talent to not be played in the 110s. We’re grabbing the over again at 223.5.
NBA
Spread
Nuggets ATS over Suns
Loss
Nuggets
-110
How good are the Suns right now? They have won six straight playoff games against the defending champions and the league MVP, and looked remarkable doing so. But the Nuggets couldn’t possibly be swept, could they? Our guess is no. Nikola Jokic has to give the home crowd something to cheer for. We predict a gentleman’s sweep, which means the Nuggets get it done in Game 4. We’re on Denver +1.5.
NBA
Spread
Nets ATS over Bucks
Loss
Nets
-110
How did the Bucks only win by three points in Game 3? The Nets were, by and large, underwhelming and still had a chance to win the game. We’re guessing they won’t fall behind 30-9 this time around and will instead take advantage of a Bucks team that still hasn’t produced much of an identity this postseason. KD and Kyrie get it done as the Nets take a commanding 3-1 series lead. We’re grabbing the Nets -1.5.
NBA
Over/Under
Bucks-Nets Over
Loss
Over
-110
What a throwback to 90s basketball in Game 3, with two elite offenses being held below a combined 170 points. We’re not buying that atrocious performance repeating itself in Game 4. These offenses are some of the best we’ve seen in recent memory - even without James Harden - and in no time they’ll be back to where we expected them at the start of this series. Grab the over at 228.5.
NBA
Spread
Clippers ATS over Jazz
Win
Clippers
-110
It didn’t happen often this season, but the Jazz were just 1-3 ATS and SU as a road underdog. The Clippers were 19-17 ATS as a home favorite, which isn’t all that impressive, but we still like how they looked in Utah - and now their season is on the line. Just like the Bucks in Game 3, we think the Clips take care of business. We like the Clippers -4.5.
NBA
Over/Under
Clippers-Jazz Under
Loss
Under
-110
Game 1 nearly went over despite a slow first quarter, with Game 2 hitting the over with ease. But with the series shifting back to Los Angeles and the Clippers needing a victory, will that top-10 defense led by Paul George and Kawhi Leonard finally show up? We think it does, meaning the under hits at 223.
NBA
Spread
Suns ATS over Nuggets
Win
Suns
-110
Michael Malone said his Nuggets team quit in Game 2, which is a pretty shocking thing to hear about a postseason team with the league MVP. With the Suns rolling and the Nuggets in a must-win situation, what will give as the series shifts back to Denver? The Suns keep rolling. They look like the best team in the NBA right now - Brooklyn included. We’re on Phoenix +1.5.
NBA
Spread
Hawks ATS over Sixers
Loss
Hawks
-110
The Hawks were outstanding at home this season and we’re not quite sure the Sixers, who have been notoriously bad on the road the last three seasons, really have an answer for Trae Young’s pick-and-roll game. Either way, we love Atlanta getting points at home in a playoff game, especially the way this offense is rolling. Even with Joel Embiid in the lineup, we’re going to keep rolling with the home team here. We like the Hawks +1.5.
NBA
Over/Under
Hawks-Sixers Over
Win
Over
-110
The Hawks offense is humming but the Sixers are always one game away from a lockdown performance on defense. Joel Embiid is questionable but should play, meaning the Philadelphia offense should be in good hands…so long as Ben Simmons shows up. We think he will, leading to a high-scoring game and the over hitting at 223.5.