Chile are crazy value with bet365 and Boylesports at 13/5 to beat Argentina in the 2015 Copa America final, and here's why you should back tournament hosts.
It would be easy to side with Argentina to win the 2015 Copa America after they hit surprise semi-finalists Paraguay for six in the semis. Too easy.
La Albiceleste have been waiting since 1993 to land a major honour, but tournament hosts Chile have never claimed the Copa crown in its 99-year history.
Bookmakers bet365 and Boylesports make Jorge Sampaoli’s side a hugely tempting 13/5 price to upset the Argentines in 90 minutes, and this looks a brilliant bet for the following reasons we’ve outlined below.
Striking the balance
Let’s face it, turning a blind eye to Argentina being top-heavy is the height of folly. Sure, there’s world-class attacking talent in a certain Lionel Messi and Sergio Aguero, but what of the defence?
Gerardo ‘Tata’ Martino is still relying on Manchester City veteran Martin Demichelis to marshal La Albiceleste’s rearguard at 34, and he’s put in some awful performances in big matches for club and country when facing opposition packed with pace.
Missing Messi magic
This will shock punters, but Argentina’s inspirational captain Messi has scored just once for his country at the business end of major tournaments. His semi-final strike against Mexico in the 2007 edition of this competition is the only occasion at three World Cups and as many Copa Americas on which he has made an impression.
Chile have conceded just four goals at this tournament, and only two opposition players have breached their backline. Inter Milan anchorman Gary Medel may have put through his own net during their 2-1 semi victory against Peru, but plays with such strength in the tackle that he lives up to his nickname ‘Pitbull’ on international duty, where he is deployed deeper at centre half.
This contrast between Argentina and the hosts could not be more stark in the engine room. La Albiceleste have just one goal from the middle of the park through Javier Pastore, while Chile pair Arturo Vidal and Charles Aranguiez have struck five times between them. Martino’s midfield shield Javier Mascherano cannot mark both men, so there’s a big battle for the less-experienced Lucas Biglia too.
Eduardo Vargas was definitely a flop on loan at QPR in the Premier League this term, but he is a completely different animal on international duty. Striking four times at this Copa America on home soil, including a decisive brace in the semis, mean he is the tournament top scorer.
Backed up by silky Arsenal attacker Alexis Sanchez, there is pace to burn in Chile ranks up top, and this will stand them in good stead for getting at Demichelis and that Argentina defence.
Bookies.com recommended bet: Take those tasty 13/5 odds for Chile to win the Copa America final in 90 minutes on offer @ bet365 and Boylesports.