What are the best bets in today's bookies.com-sponsored races?
Here at bookies.com we’re proud sponsors of four races on this afternoon’s card at Carlisle and we’ve run the rule over each.
2.30: bookies.com Median Auction Maiden Stakes, 5f193y
Strummer, who is a half-brother to a winning sprinter in France, and Lytham St Annes are interesting newcomers and strong market support for either would be significant.
Experience should win the day, though, and the two to concentrate on here are Mark Johnston’s Highly Sprung, who is improving with every run, and the Michael Dod’s-trained MARKET CHOICE, who is bet365’s 11/4 favourite. The latter was heavily backed on his debut over course and distance last month and nearly rewarded his backers, going down a mere head to Kelly’s Dino. Noisy and green in the preliminaries, he didn’t help his chances by dwelling at the start and then found trouble in running, before taking second in the dying strides. He should come on a bundle for that run and can go one better here.
3.35: bookies.com Handicap, 7f200y
It’s fairly safe to put a line through rags Unforgettable You and Danny O’ruairc on racecourse evidence, while the other five runners all have questions to answer.
Cooper makes a quick reappearance after finishing third at Ripon on Monday, but he was beaten a long way and gives weight away all round. Blackfoot Brave has been knocking on the door of late, filling the runner-up spot the last twice, but he too was a long way behind the winner last time and may need further.
Devious Spirit never showed on his reappearance, his first run since being gelded, while Fidelma Moon has finished no closer than fifth in four starts this term, with no obvious excuses. The pick therefore and almost by default goes to Mark Tompkins’ LEGAL ART, who can be excused a poor run on the Fibresand at Southwell last time and showed he had a race of this nature in him when twice finishing second on the all-weather at the beginning of the year. His jockey Ben Curtis rides the track well, scoring on six of his 30 rides (20%) for a £1 level-stakes profit of £23.25. His mount here is a value price at 8/1 with bet365.
4.45: Brilliant Betting Tips At bookies.com Handicap, 1m1f61y
This has drawn the biggest field of the day with 14 set to go to post headed by Richard Fahey’s PICCADILLY JIM, who carries a 6lb penalty for his recent Pontefract success over a furlong less. That was a higher grade race than this and he did it well, keeping on strongly to beat Thornaby Ash, a winner previously, by three and a quarter lengths. The handicapper is likely to put him by more than 6lb for future races and if he runs to the same level of form here he’ll be hard to beat. He’s a relatively skinny price at a general 2/1, mind, and the temptation is look elsewhere for some value.
Tectonic has been well beaten since scoring over track and trip in June and Nelson’s Bay has struggled since landing a double at Musselburgh early in the season, so a bigger threat may come from the well treated Incurs Four Faults. He would be a topical tip, but I keep coming back to the favourite and, with Jack Garritty taking a handy 3lb off his back, I’m happy to jump on at short odds.
5.20: Compare Odds At bookies.com Handicap, 1m6f32y
A competitive finale and it could pay to shop around for the best prices – that’s where the sponsors bookies.com come in. Bookmakers currently have Amour De Nuit amongst the favourites and it’s easy to see why as Sir Mark Prescott’s finished second in a Class 4 at Newmarket last time and promises to stay this far. He was beaten a fair way, though, and showed a hint of temperament when flashing his tail. He might need a pair of blinkers before he puts his best foot forward.
There a couple of solid alternatives, including Tim Easterby’s Dew Pond, who has finished runner-up on his last two starts over shorter, giving the impression he needs a stamina test like this.
However, I just prefer the claims of MYTHICAL MOMENT, who also served notice her winning turn was not far away when chasing home the well backed Siren’s Cove at Lingfield last time. A daughter of Derby winner Authorised, she ought to be suited by today’s longer trip and her stable is in irresistible form, with an excellent 40% (4-10) strike rate at the track over the last five seasons. With Graham Lee doing the steering, she’ll do for me at Hills’ 4/1.