Bookies.com New Year’s Six College Football Bowl Projections
Given the current College Football Playoff title odds, which you can check out here, this is what the two CFP semifinals would look like along with projections for the other four New Year’s Six games.
2019 New Year’s Six Bowl Projections
|Peach Bowl: CFP Semi 1||Clemson (+200) vs. LSU (+800)|
|Fiesta Bowl: CFP Semi 2||Alabama (+225) vs. Ohio State (+600)|
|Sugar Bowl||Oklahoma (+1000) vs. Georgia (+1400)|
|Rose Bowl||Wisconsin (+2500) vs. Oregon (+10000)|
|Orange Bowl||Notre Dame (+10000) vs. Virginia (+100000)|
|Cotton Bowl||Penn State (+5000) vs. Boise State (+50000)|
Last Saturday delivered pure, uncut college football glory from start to finish.
Georgia went down as a 24.5-point home favorite, LSU outlasted Florida in a Death Valley shootout, Oklahoma-Texas came down to the wire and Penn State-Iowa … um, we don’t have to talk about Penn State-Iowa.
The most promising slate of games all season delivered big time and created a bit of chaos in the College Football Playoff betting rankings. Clemson (+200) and Alabama (+225) handled their business to stay in the top two spots, but Joe Burrow and the Tigers are now fourth (+800) after standing tall against the Gator defense.
The Bulldogs (+1400) are still alive despite that stunning loss to the Gamecocks. Run the table, win the SEC Championship game and all will be forgiven.
As for Oklahoma, it’s still on the outside looking in as far as betting odds go. The Sooners (+1000) are fifth behind Ohio State and LSU and didn’t beat Texas convincingly enough to join the CFP party. Yet.
Here are the projections for all New Year’s Six games including title odds.
CFP Semifinal 1: No. 1 Clemson vs. No. 4 LSU
LSU is for real, and everyone knows it now. Quarterback Joe Burrow and the offense held up against the best defense in the SEC and scored 40-plus for the ninth consecutive game. And covered the consensus 13.5-point spread, too! The +800 odds make sense because they play No. 11 Auburn and No. 1 Alabama in an upcoming three-week stretch. This LSU team looks different, though. It looks like it actually has an offense that could hang with the Crimson Tide on a given afternoon.
Clemson picked up a much-needed blowout win over Florida State and has an intriguing game this week at Louisville. Status quo at this point for the favorites. Take care of business against a cupcake schedule and show up ready to play in December.
CFP Semifinal 2: No. 2 Alabama vs. No. 3 Ohio State
The Crimson Tide covered on the road against feisty Texas A&M. That offense is just so explosive with odds-on Heisman favorite Tua Tagovailoa at the helm. The +225 odds aren’t bad considering how vulnerable Clemson has looked at times this season, and Alabama shouldn’t have any issues with upcoming home games against Tennessee and Arkansas. Then it’s time for the Game of the Year Nov. 9 when No. 2 LSU comes to Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Ohio State (+600) heads to Northwestern Friday night, which won’t be much of a road test. Ryan Field is notoriously opponent-friendly. The Buckeyes are a 28-point favorite for a reason. OSU hosts Wisconsin the following week, but its National Championship odds likely won’t change a ton by beating the Badgers in Columbus. Might be wise to wait a week or two on the Buckeyes.
Sugar Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Georgia
A second straight Sugar Bowl appearance would sure sting in Athens. Georgia (+1400) can’t point to the SEC gauntlet schedule this time, though. Nor would it be able to gripe about the selection committee with a home loss to South Carolina on the resume.
The Bulldogs need to win out and put up a strong fight in the conference championship game to have a shot. Oklahoma seems far more realistic at +1000 with no ranked teams left on the schedule and a solid win over Texas in the rearview mirror.
Rose Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Oregon
The Badgers have a strong case as the most-underrated team in the nation coming off a 38-0 win over Michigan State. It’s crazy that the Badgers’ odds are nearly twice as long as Georgia’s, but that’s the SEC vs. the Big Ten for you. The defense has given up 29 points in six games and that’s impressive in 2019 no matter who you play.
Speaking of defense, Oregon actually has one this year. A good one. The under is 5-1 in Ducks games as a result, so keep that in mind as Oregon travels to Washington this week in a big Pac 12 showdown.
Orange Bowl: Virginia vs. Notre Dame
So much for the ACC, which has no ranked teams after Wake Forest lost to Louisville Saturday. But, someone’s has to go. Virginia looks like the best team even with two losses, one of them to Notre Dame in South Bend.
The Fighting Irish escaped a close one against rival USC over the weekend but failed to cover. They’re off this week before a big road game Oct. 26 in Ann Arbor. Beat Michigan, win out against an otherwise unranked schedule and just maybe Notre Dame gets lucky.
Cotton Bowl: Penn State vs. Boise State
The Nittany Lions survived an ugly one at Iowa and covered to stay unbeaten. But it’s a tough road ahead with Michigan this week, at Minnesota Nov. 9 and at Ohio State Nov. 23. Penn State is 8.5-point favorites against the Wolverines and can continue to bolster the resume with a strong showing in Happy Valley.
The Broncos, meanwhile, are up to No. 14 in the AP poll and covered against Hawaii Saturday in convincing fashion. They’re rolling into this week’s game at BYU and look like the best non-Power Five team in the country. SMU is also a strong candidate, though, with a big home game against Temple coming up.