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Doncaster Thursday tips – best bets for the ITV races

Our racing expert gives his verdict on the televised action.

1:50 6½f (6f111y) British Stallion Studs EBF “Carrie Red” Fillies’ Nursery Handicap (Class 2) (2yo)
Plenty can be fancied in what is a tricky opener but one who could be better treated than most is STRICT TEMPO, who is trained by the in-form Andrew Balding. The penny dropped for her at Nottingham last month (6f, good to firm) when comfortably seeing off the runner-up with the rest well strung out and she’s from a good family that improves with age, being a half-sister to 6f sprinters Dancing Star and Foxtrot Lady, both of whom tun in the same blue colours of Jeff Smith. Balding thinks she is “very well handicapped” on a mark of 77, according to a Stable Tour last week, so she has to be worth a small each-way interest at a double-digit price – Paddy Power is the place to back her as they are joint top at 14/1 and are also paying out on four places. Lady Cosette heads the list of dangers.

2:25 1m (Str) William Hill May Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (Class 1) (2yo)
Likely favourite Dubai Beauty created a big impression when scoring on her Newmarket debut, although she was favoured by racing against the stands’ rail and the runner-up has since finished well beaten in the Group 3 Prestige Stakes. That Goodwood contest may still provide the winner, though, as it was a strong renewal and the runner-up ACCORDANCE, who is a half-sister to Group-placed 1m juvenile winner Clonard Street, is going to relish today’s extra furlong on breeding and her style of running. Her trainer Mark Johnston clearly thinks she is potentially high-class, judging by an entry in the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile, and his booking of Frankie Dettori clinches the bet at a generous-looking 9/1 with Ladbrokes (just 6/1 in places). Of the rest, Aidan O’Brien’s pair of Peach Tree and Fleeting, who were second and third in the same Group 3 last time, have to be respected.

3:00 1m6½f (1m6f115y) DFS Park Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (3yo+)
This looks between Horseplay and PILASTER and while I’ve got plenty of respect for the former mare, who was last seen finishing a respectable fourth in the Yorkshire Oaks behind Sea Of Class, I’m not sure she can give nearly a stone to Roger Varian’s progressive three-year-old filly. She was making it 3-3 this season when short-heading Maid Up in a Group 2 at Goodwood when last seen out and the runner-up has since gone one better in a Group 3 to frank the form and has the St Leger as her next port of call. As for the winner, there is almost certainly more to come from the daughter of Nathaniel, who has “trained really pleasingly into this race” according to her in-form trainer, and this track on easier ground will most likely suit her more. She’s a worthy favourite and Boylesports’ 7/4 is standout at the time of writing.

3:35 6½f (6f111y) Weatherbys Racing Bank £300,000 2-Y-O Stakes (Class 2) (2yo)
With winning connections picking up a whopping £147k, this has attracted a big field of 22 and they are headed by Richard Hannon’s Aim Power, who has strong form in the book yet is able to race off bottom weight. He looks sure to go well but the current 5/1 looks plenty short enough in a race of this nature, with luck in running sure to play a part, and I’d rather have a little each-way on Ed Walker’s TRIGGERED at the 16/1 on offer at Paddy Power, who are paying out on five places albeit at one fifth the odds. The son of Dandy Man has won his last two starts at Ffos Las and Catterick (second has won since) in the style of an improving sort and while his entry in the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes might look a bit fanciful at this stage, he’s clearly held in high regard by his trainer, who can’t stop training winners (9-29 in the last fortnight).

SELECTIONS

Doncaster 1.50, Strict Tempo each-way @ 14/1 Paddy Power (1/5 odds, 1.2.3.4)
Doncaster 2.25, Accordance @ 9/1 Ladbrokes
Doncaster 3.00, Pilaster @ 15/8 Boylesports
Doncaster 3.35, Triggered each-way @ 16/1 Paddy Power (1/5 odds, 1.2.3.4.5)

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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