All of last five Milan match-ups have contained two goals or less, so fallen Italian giants could be set for San Siro stalemate on Sunday.
As the last five Milan derbies have all contained two goals or less, best-price odds of 11/4 with bet365 for the latest renewal to contain under 1.5 are splendid value.
Both Inter and AC Milan have fallen on hard times this term, with the San Siro stadium sharers propping up the top half of Serie A. Once a fixture that often helped shape the destiny of the Scudetto, there is just pride to play for here with the Nerauzzrri and Rossoneri each five wins away from Champions League contention with just eight games to go.
That will not diminish what is sure to be a fierce contest, however, with red cards far from a rare occurrence after two in the previous five. Another sending off is a 17/11 chance with 888.com.
Roberto Mancini has seen the Inter goal burden fall on young Argentine attacker Mauro Icardi. He leads the Nerazzurri scoring charts with 21 in 40 outings across all competitions. Odds of 8/5, also with 888.com, say Icardi will net anytime here.
Backing up Icardi is compatriot Rodrigo Palacio, who is at the opposite end of his career and has five in his last six starts. The veteran frontman, complete with thin ponytail, is a 13/2 chance with BetVictor to open the scoring.
For Fillipo Inzaghi’s AC Milan, French forward Jeremy Menez has four in his last five and 16 for the season, including one in the reverse fixture, so odds of 40/17 with 888.com say his fine form will continue.
Dutch defensive midfield destroyer Nigel de Jong was a surprise scoring source for the Rossoneri last term when they beat Inter 1-0. He netted last time out as AC Milan held Sampdoria, so should be considered in the anytime market at 12/1 for bet365.
With plenty of portents pointing to a low-scoring affair in Milan, those awesome odds of 11/4 for under 1.5 total goals really are well worth taking.