NFC Championship Buccaneers vs Packers Odds, Props & Picks
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All season long, it appeared that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers were destined to meet Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in the playoffs. Tampa Bay had to come from the No. 5 seed but we now will get this heavyweight fight in Sunday’s NFC Championship Game.
There are several different NFL betting angles to cover in this game, but the matchup between Rodgers and Brady is the headline. Rodgers might be just the most gifted passer of all-time and Brady is undoubtedly the most accomplished.
These are two of the NFL's best offenses and this should be an epic game on Sunday afternoon.
Buccaneers vs Packers Spread Betting
Coming off an impressive victory against the Los Angeles Rams in Round 2, the Packers are 3-point favorites at home in this game. That is noteworthy because in the previous meeting between these two teams, the Packers lost by 35 points at Tampa Bay. However, the Packers are a much better team at home as they have no problem playing in the cold weather. In fact, it's almost like Rodgers embraces it as he has the ball velocity to cut through the cold air and find open receivers.
Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is coming off of a win at New Orleans against a Saints team that beat the Buccaneers twice in the regular season. The Bucs are playing their best football of the season with seven straight road victories including two in the playoffs. Both teams are 5-2 against the spread in their past seven games and are quite similar. However, Green Bay is just so difficult to beat at Lambeau Field with Rodgers under center. This game's odds can differ from sportsbook to sportsbook as some have already moved this line up to 3.5. That’s why we locked in the Packers at -3.
Buccaneers vs Packers Moneyline Betting
If the point spread is too risky for you, consider betting the moneyline instead. Green Bay has won six straight games at home and seven consecutive games overall. They've won all seven of those games by at least seven points as their offense continues to be the best in the NFL. Green Bay averages nearly 32 points per game and has scored at least 31 in three straight games. But what's more encouraging about this Packers team is their defense, which has allowed 18 or fewer points in four straight games.
The Buccaneers will present a different type of challenge for the Packers, with balance all around. We saw Tampa Bay’s potential on defense last week: An opportunistic secondary and a pass rush that can get home with just four rushers. It won't be a shock if the Buccaneers win this game as they are one of the most talented teams in the NFL, led by the greatest quarterback of all-time. But the Packers are just playing at a different level right now. We locked in the Packers moneyline at -180.
Buccaneers vs Packers Over/Under Betting
The total for the NFC Championship Game was about 51 and that feels about right considering the caliber of these two offenses. The Packers and Buccaneers finished No. 1 and No. 2, respectively, in points per game in 2020. Led by two shoo-in Hall of Fame quarterbacks, the Packers and Buccaneers have weapons all over the field and elite offensive lines. However, the under is an intriguing bet because both defenses have played well lately. Green Bay has allowed only 20 or more points once in its last six games and Tampa Bay held the Saints to 20 points in the Superdome.
Despite the caliber of quarterbacks in this game, expect the number of points to come in slowly in the first half, then pick up in the third and fourth quarters. Take under 51 in this matchup.
Buccaneers vs Packers 5 Best Prop Bets To Back
|Packers QB Aaron Rodgers over 279.5 passing yards||-112 |
Bet it at Unibet
|Packers WR Davante Adams to score a touchdown||-165 |
Bet it at BetMGM
|Buccaneers TE Rob Gronkowski over 27.5 receiving yards||-112|
Bet it at FanDuel
|Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers to go over 250 passing yards||-110|
Bet it at FOX Bet
|Packers QB Aaron Rodgers to have more passing yards than Buccaneers QB Tom Brady||+100|
Bet it at DraftKings
NFL odds listed are current as of publication and subject to change.
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Packers QB Aaron Rodgers over 279.5 passing yards (-112)
Tampa Bay has one of the league’s best run defenses and could get stud defensive tackle Vita Vea back this week. Don’t expect the Packers to beat their head into the wall as they will likely use the short passing game to supplement the run. That means Rodgers should throw early and often in this game, leading to him hitting the over on his passing yardage total. Take the OVER 279.5 for Rodgers at Unibet.
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Packers WR Davante Adams to score a touchdown (-165)
If you are searching for a safe prop bet, take Adams to score a touchdown at any point in this game. The Buccaneers don’t have a cornerback that can cover him one-on-one and we know how often Rodgers looks for him in the end zone. Take Adams to score a touchdown at BetMGM.
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Buccaneers TE Rob Gronkowski over 27.5 receiving yards (-112)
The Packers have really good cornerbacks, but Green Bay’s undersized safeties can be exposed in the middle of the field. That sets up well for Gronkowski, who has had some of his best career games in the Championship round. Look for him to see five or six targets and create a few big plays down the middle. Take the over 27.5 receiving yards for Gronkowski at FanDuel.
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Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers to go over 250 passing yards (-110)
Both teams will want to establish the run, but each offense is at its best throwing the ball. Rodgers has thrown for 250 or more yards in six of his past seven playoff games, while Brady has done this 26 times in his playoff career. Take both quarterbacks to surpass 250 yards at FOX Bet.
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Packers QB Aaron Rodgers to have more passing yards than Buccaneers QB Tom Brady (+100)
One of the biggest weaknesses of Brady's game right now is his lack of arm strength. That prohibits him from throwing the ball down the field and really racking up the passing yardage. He should go over 250 passing yards, but he's unlikely to outthrow Rodgers in this game, especially in the cold. Take Rodgers to have more passing yards at DraftKings.
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