Our resident tipster has unearthed his idea of the five best bets for this week's Glorious Goodwood.
Glorious Goodwood gets under way on Tuesday and the following five horses, all of which should be decent prices, might just help you turn a profit over the course of the week.
ZAND (Sky Bet First Race Special Stakes, 2.00 Tuesday)
Mark Johnston has developed a real affinity with this meeting down the years and backing all his runners here since 2011 would have yielded 32 winners for a healthy £1 level-stakes profit of £44.12. Given his current hot streak it could prove wise to give all his runners this week a second look and he can get the meeting off to a flyer with Zand. Formerly with John Oxx, who trained him to win four races, including a hat-trick in Switzerland in the first half of last year, he makes his debut for the Middleham trainer here and is the chosen mount of Joe Fanning, who has won in him twice previously. What makes him of real interest, though, is his liking for some dig in the ground, with the meeting expected to start on slowish surface. Best price: 11/1 Sky Bet – money back as a free bet (up to £25) if he loses.
EXTREMITY (Betfred Mile, 3.10 Friday)
At first glance this looks impossible to solve and much depends on the draw, with the last 10 winners being drawn in stall 16 or higher. Having made that important caveat, it’s not too hard to imagine Hugo Palmer’s gelding running a big race. He looked a horse going places last season with one of his three wins coming over this trip at last year’s meeting and he looked to be coming back to form when fourth at Nottingham last time. Palmer, who has been in fire this month, has most likely prepared him to peak this week and it will help his chances that he’s slipped down the weights to a mark just a 1lb higher than when winning at Thirsk last September. He seems pretty versatile when it comes to the ground. Have a little each-way on now, with a view to going in again once we know the draw. Best price: 33/1 bet365
OUT DO (King George Stakes, 3.45 Friday)
This improving sprinter looks the ideal type for this Group 2. He’s won three times already this season, twice over the minimum, and looked to be still improving when registering a smooth success at York last time. Don’t be fooled by his winning margin of a neck and the fact the third and fourth were close up too as he was held up and produced late to lead near the line. Goodwood’s sharp 5f tends to suit sprinters with a high cruising speed that can quicken when asked, like him, and it’s not hard to see the six-year-old travelling sweetly behind the leaders before pouncing late on. Connections are eyeing up next month’s Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes, which may be tilting at windmills a little, but he can put himself in line for a crack at that prize with a win here.
MONTSARRAT (Telegraph Nursery Stakes, 4.55 Thursday)
Ten of Mark Johnston’s winners here (see Zand) were juveniles and given the trainer’s current hot streak it’s hard not to see him saddling the winner of this valuable nursery, with his charge chasing a hat-trick after wins Salisbury and Catterick (another sharp track). Granted, it was a match he won last time and he must carry a 6lb penalty for that success here, but he did it in the style of a horse who could be Listed class or better and William Buick, who renews the partnership, was clearly impressed too, saying: “This track is challenging for a two-year-old and I was very pleased with everything he did.” This is far more competitive of course but he could well be up to the task.
MAGIC MEMORY (Stewards’ Cup, 3.45 Saturday)
Trainer Charlie Hills looks set to be well represented in Saturday’s big sprint handicap as he has the option to run Saturday’s York winner Tanzeel under a penalty. He must go well if turning up, but I’m more interested at this stage in his younger stablemate Magical Memory, who could not have been more impressive when winning a red-hot handicap on the July Course at Newmarket last time. As this is an early closing race, he will run under a 6lb penalty and that should ensure he gets a run. Three-year-olds like him often struggle to even make it into these big handicaps, which helps explain why no horse of that age has won this race since Danetime in 1997. Interestingly, that horse won the same Newmarket race Magical Memory won before his victory under 8st 12lb, which is the same weight the selection is set to carry. One of his owners said after Newmarket that he’d win next year’s Stewards’ Cup and he may well be right, but it would be no surprise to see him deliver that prophecy a year early. Best price: 14/1 Ladbrokes.