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Glorious Goodwood Tuesday tips – best bets for the ITV races

Our racing expert gives his verdict on the four Glorious Goodwood races being shown live on ITV.

1:50 1m2f (1m1f197y) Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+)
Mark Johnston has won four of the last nine renewals and his Rainbow Rebel arrives here in the form of his life, having rattled up a hat-trick in decent handicaps in the space of three weeks. However, he’s gone up a further 7lb since and is much worse off with ALFARRIS, who beat him a length and a half over at Chelmsford in June. The latter horse only narrowly failed to follow up in a warm handicap at Sandown run in a fast time, which was taking his record over this trip to 2112, and this progressive type looks capable of better. With Jim Cowley preferring him to Royal Hunt Cup runner-up Afaak and his job made easier by an inside draw in stall three, he has to be the pick at the 8/1 on offer at Boylesports.

RESULT: ALFAARIS WON @ 13/2

2:25 7f Qatar Vintage Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo)
Confiding created a big impression when scoring on his debut and the likely favourite has plenty of fancy entries later in the season, but in an open renewal a chance is taken on Alan King’s DUNKERON. After making an encouraging debut in a novice here, he has looked most progressive over 6f, winning twice and finishing fourth in a Newmarket Group 2 on his latest start. That confirmed him a smart cookie and the way he was picking up again near the finish after hitting a flat spot suggests he is going to relish today’s extra furlong. The red-hot form of his stable (8-19, 42%, in the last fortnight) clinches the bet at bet365’s 8/1.

3:00 7f Qatar Lennox Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Breton Rock sprung a 50/1 shock in what was a messy renewal last year and the eight-year-old is 12/1 for a repeat, but he’ll everything to go his way again and SIR DANCEALOT looks the one to be on at bet365’s 11/2. David Elsworth’s four-year-old has won four times over this trip, including when beating So Beloved in a Group 3 at Newmarket two starts back under today’s rider Gerald Mosse, and his most recent effort, an admirable fourth in the Group 1 July Cup (6f), showed that he remains in cracking form. With the step back up in trip sure to suit, he seems sure to go close although the sole three-year-old runner Tip Two Win, who was second in the 2000 Guineas before finishing fourth in the St James’s Palace, is entitled to plenty of respect.

RESULT: SIR DANCEALOT WON @ 5/1

3:35 2m Qatar Goodwood Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+)
It’s hard to see past last year’s winner STRADIVARIUS as John Gosden’s tip-top stayer holds main market rival Torcedor on their running in the Ascot Gold Cup (2m4f) and has shown himself to be just as effective over shorter when landing the Yorkshire Cup previously. Having won both those races this season, he’s still eligible for the Stayers’ Million bonus and this third leg – the final leg of the four-timer is the Lonsdale Cup at York’s Ebor meeting – looks his for the taking if running up to his best. The only slight concern is that he was reported lame after the Ascot race, having lost his right-hind shoe, but Gosden wouldn’t be running him if he wasn’t entirely happy and it’ll be a surprise if he doesn’t land the odds.

RESULT: STRADIVARIUS WON @ 4/5

SELECTIONS

Goodwood 1.50, Alfarris @ 8/1 Boylesports
Goodwood 2.25, Dunkeron @ 8/1 bet365
Goodwood 3.00, Sir Dancealot @ 11/2 bet365
Goodwood 3.35, Stradivarius @ 8/13 Paddy Power

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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