What are the best bets for day two of Glorious Goodwood?
There are four Channel 4-televised races on day two of Glorious Goodwood and here are my thoughts.
2.00: Victoria Racing Club Goodwood Stakes (Handicap), 2m5f
This is as tricky as they come and a case can be made for at least half the 20-runner field. Bookmakers rate the chances of William Of Orange, making him a general favourite around 6/1, and he could well be the answer as he has been running well over shorter, including when third here last month, and the way he races suggests he will thrive over this marathon trip. However, he’s up another 4lb, meaning he carries top weight of 9st 10lb, and I’m not sure his odds are big enough to compensate.
Instead, I’m going to take a chance on Tim Vaughan’s NUMBER ONE LONDON. He was difficult to win with when trained by Brian Meehan on the flat, but his sole success did come in a handicap here and he’s now only 3lb higher. What’s more he looks to have improved for the switch to his current stable, winning over jumps at Newton Abbot two starts back before finding 2m on the sharp side when runner-up at Uttoxeter. Fit as a flea from those efforts and clearly at the top of his game, he’s decent value each-way at bet365’s 20/1 with the booking of David Probert also catching the eye.
2.35: Neptune Investment Management Gordon Stakes (Group 3), 1m4f
Medrano was hugely impressive when landing a Listed race at Hamilton last time, which was following on from a good third here behind Storm The Stars, and David Brown”s is well worth a try in Group 2 company with a view to running in the St Leger later this season
However, he has a few pounds to find on the ratings with HIGHLAND REEL and that horse looks the one to beat if back to his best. Aidan O’Brien’s charge ran below par on his latest start in the Irish Derby, before which he got noticeably warm in the preliminaries, and is best judged on his previous second to New Bay in the Group 1 Prix du Jockey Club. If you go further back on his CV, there is a Group 2 win at this track as a juvenile and, with course form being like gold dust, he’s a worthy favourite at Hills’ 2/1.
Looking further ahead, he’s one of many stable entries in the St Leger and a win here, as expected, would see his current bet365 odds of 33/1 for the Classic take a tumble.
3.10: Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1), 1m
Sadly, the eagerly anticipated duel between Gleneagles and Solow is off after the former horse was scratched and that has left Freddie Head’s charge with what looks a penalty kick to land his eighth race in a row and fourth consecutive Group 1. His latest success in the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot confirmed him as the star miler on the scene and he holds Cougar Mountain, Here Comes When and Night Of Thunder on that running, though the latter ran below his best and could make more of a race of it this time.
A bigger danger, though, could come from BELARDO, who is one of two three-year-old runners (the other being Bossy Guest) and therefore gets a handy 8lb age allowance. Connections will be hoping the ground doesn’t dry out too much as he’s best when there is cut in the ground, as he showed when winning the Dewhurst Stakes on soft. With his stable in top form, he could well produce a career-best effort here and is worth a small interest at Coral’s 9/1 to pull off a surprise win, with enough runners for an each-way bet should you wish to be more cautious.
3.45: Fairmont Molecomb Stakes (Group 3), 5f
Speed is the essence over Goodwood’s mostly downhill 5f track and KING OF ROOKS (7/4 bet365) has that in spades. Richard Hannon’s charge showed that when beating Buratino in the National Stakes at Sandown, which looks strong form given the subsequent exploits of the runner-up. He perhaps paid the price for pressing his stablemate Log Out Island from the start in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot and his rider Frankie Dettori is likely to show a little more restraint in the early stages of this race, which has gone to the Hannon yard three times in the last six years.
The big danger looks to be Aidan O’Brien’s Washington DC, a head winner of the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. He too is all about speed but, having relished the lightning fast ground that day, he might be so quite so effective on this afternoon’s slower surface. Mark Johnston’s Muhadathat makes most appeal of the remainder with his stable in red-hot form and having a great record here.