Our in-form resident tipster has set his sights on taking more money off the bookmakers this afternoon, and won't be put off by big prices.
It’s been an amazing week for followers of this column with a couple of big-priced winners (25/1 and 9/1) at Kempton on Wednesday evening followed by a treble at Goodwood on Thursday, and it’s safe to say we are now playing with bookmakers’ money.
I’m in no rush to give it back and Gleneagles is no betting proposition at the forecast odds-on to land back-to-back Classics when he lines up in the Irish 2000 Guineas at the Curragh, though it’s a race not to be missed (due off 3.20pm). The Temple Stakes at Haydock (3.45pm) is far more punter-friendly and I’ve a strong opinion on the Group 2 contest, which you can read all about elsewhere on this site. Robert Cowell’s Goldream being the selection.
Here, I’m going to put up a couple of others worth backing starting with the Kevin Ryan-trained COMPANY ASSET, who runs in the five-furlong Hilary Needler Trophy at Beverley (3.15pm). I made a few quid by backing the same trainer’s Captain Colby last Saturday (hope you were on too?!) and it’s a stable I follow closely, with the selection going in the notebook following an eye-catching third on her racecourse debut at Wolverhampton last month when as green as grass.
The winner Delizia franked the form when winning a Listed contest at York last week and the selection would have finished a lot closer but for missing the break, with all her best work coming late on. She can be expected to do much better with that experience under her belt and, while she will need an extra furlong in time, the stiff, uphill finish at Beverley should prove ideal. The stable has won this race three times in recent years and I make her my nap of the day at the forecast 8/1.
A more speculative punt is going on Karl Burke’s EXPLOSIVE LADY, who is the only three-year-old runner in the six-furlong Listed contest at Haydock (3.15pm), formerly known as the ‘Cecil Frail’ before the race sponsors Betfred attached their moniker. At first glance she looks up against it taking on older fillies and mares, but horses from her age group have an excellent record, landing five of the last ten runnings and placing more times than runners aged four or older. What’s more, two of the three-year-old winners were priced at 11/1 and 20/1.
None of that would matter if she weren’t up to scratch but, on the evidence of her four runs at two, she’s got plenty of ability. After winning at Nottingham on her debut, she went in to finish third in a Group 3 race at Ascot, won by subsequent Nell Gwyn winner Osaila, and third again in Ripon’s Champion Two Yrs Old Trophy on her next start. But she ran better still when beaten half a length in a valuable sales race at the Curragh in September, which she might have won had she got a clear run inside the final furlong.
She’ll need to step up again to land this, but she ought to have more improvement in her after just four runs, and she gets an allowance for her age, which has clearly been advantageous in the past. Her stable has been amongst the winners of late and Ben Curtis, who has ridden her on three occasions, is back on board. There were no prices up at the time of writing (will add later), but she’s forecast to go off at 12/1 and I’d be more than happy to take that.