Our racing expert is steering clear of handicaps and going down the maiden route for potential profit.
This afternoon’s maidens at Newbury are well contested by some promising sorts and it will take an above average two-year-old to get over the line in front.
The John Gosden-trained newcomer Jewel House has been priced up as market leader for the opening 7f maiden and the son of Dubawi should go well. He doesn’t have any fancy entries, though (unlike some of the others), and he might be vulnerable to one with some experience under his belt.
That horse might be the Sylvester Kirk-trained SALOUEN, who is having his third start here and has shown plenty of promise so far. He was just touched off on his Salisbury debut when running green and showed the benefit of that run when third in a 6f maiden here on his next start, only losing second close home having overcome a tricky inside draw in stall one.
He should be capable of better still and his trainer was very complimentary about him in a recent Stable Tour. He said: “I think this is a smart colt. He has a lot of strengthening up to do but he shouldn’t have too many problems winning a maiden on that evidence. He should be ready to go again in a couple of weeks and I’m keen to step him up to 7f. He’s a lovely prospect.” Indeed, Kirk made him Trainer’s Pick’ of the entire yard.
Better drawn today in stall seven and with Eddie Greatrex taking a handy 3lb off his back, he looks a value 7/1 shot to take care of market rivals who are perhaps priced up more based on their connections.
The market for the 6f maiden for fillies is headed by a couple of unraced fillies, Faith In Me and Partitia, hailing from the yards of Simon Crisford and Sir Michael Stoute respectively. Both are bred to be decent and the former’s trainer has an excellent strike rate with juveniles this season (4-10, 40%).
She may well win but, here again, previous experience will count for plenty and Sylvester Kirk’s TIBURTINA could outrun her 16/1 price tag and reward each-way support. The daughter of Holy Roman Emperor ran well on her debut in a Kempton maiden won by the well-regarded Sibilance, finishing fifth just over a couple of lengths behind the winner, having travelled well and then running green. With some stronger Flat yards represented on that occasion, it has the look of a hot maiden and the selection should come on plenty for the experience. Eddie Greatrex claims 5lb off her and he can make the most of a middle draw.
All odds were correct at time of posting.