Our racing expert fancies three last-time-out winners to go in again.
Last-time-out winners tend to be overbet next time, but the following three horses appear to offer some value on their attempts to double up at Sandown this afternoon.
Karl Burke’s WHOLESOME didn’t achieve much when beating eight rivals at Carlisle on her reappearance and she is up in grade in the 1m handicap in the card, which features a couple of other last-time-out winners in Out Of The Dark and Desert Haze. However, the selection is potentially well treated on her handicap debut and is the value bet at 4/1
She can certainly brag the best juvenile form of that trio, with the highlight being her half-length second to First Victory in a Newmarket maiden last September, with subsequent Lingfield Oaks Trial winner Seventh Heaven back in fourth. The winner has since been given a rating of 102, while the fourth had Epsom Oaks second Architecture back in second when scoring in Listed company back in May, so on collateral form the selection is thrown in here off 84.
It’s never that simple of course but there is surely more to come from Wholesome, who was given a Guineas entry at one stage and whose trainer said she would “come on a bundle” for her Carlisle win and doesn’t send many horses to Sandown from his North Yorkshire base. She can make the journey worthwhile and land us a nice 4/1 payout, hopefully.
Ralph Beckett is turning MASTER OF IRONY out again quickly in the 1m2f handicap (3.30pm) following the four-year-old’s easy Windsor success 11 days ago and that is sensible as the gelding is sure to go up by more than the 6lb penalty he carries here when reassessed. A half-brother to the smart Captain Cat, he was taking his record to 3-7 when scoring over this trip at the Berkshire venue and he clearly goes well for today’s pilot Oisin Murphy, who has steered him to a couple of successes. With second favourite Bermondsey and Hugo Palmer’s Extremity (feared most) likely to need their first runs back, he can go in again.
Jim Boyle is also attempting to strike while the iron is hot by running Black Bess in the closing 7f handicap (4.40pm) under a 6lb penalty for hacking up at Lingfield eight days ago. That’s a wise move as she was flattered by her winning margin of three and a half lengths – she handled the soft ground better than the others – and this is probably her best chance of a follow up. The booking of Ryan Moore is another positive.
However, she has to give nearly a stone to another last-time-out winner in DYNAMIC GIRL and Brendan Powell’s filly is fancied to give Oisin Murphy a double on the card. It was only a Chepstow maiden she won on her racecourse debut, but the fact she overcome a slow start and scored despite not particularly enjoying the prevailing soft ground means the effort can be upgraded. The stable isn’t known for debut winners, so there is every likelihood she will come on considerably for the run, and the daughter of Boca Dancer (a Listed winner at two) is now making her handicap debut off a potentially generous perch of 64. Of course, Black Bess still looks a big danger but she is just 5/2, whereas the selection is a value 8/1 shot and will be carrying my money.
All odds were correct at time of posting.