All three of these last-time-out winners are poised to go in again, according to our racing expert.
Backing last-time-out winners is not always the value call, but in the case of the following three horses it’s the right one as they are well handicapped enough to follow up.
You’d better BELIEVE IT and the Richard Hughes-trained colt of that name is crying out to be backed when he runs in the 1m handicap at Bath (due off 2.30pm). Formerly trained by Hughes’ chief employer (and brother-in-law), Richard Hannon, he has shown improved form on the all-weather over the winter and was winning for the second time when last seen out at Lingfield in late February.
That was over 7f, as indeed was his maiden victory, but he won going away and the son of Rip Van Winkle should have no trouble getting today’s extra furlong and may well improve for it. With the stable in good form and off just a 4lb higher mark, he can take care of 11 largely out of form and more exposed rivals under Shane Kelly, who can make the most of a good draw in stall two.
The Richard Fahey-trained MASTERPAVER had been running better than his form figures would suggest, so it was no surprise to see him well backed into 7/4 favouritism on his return to turf over a mile at Haydock seven days ago. The gamble was well and truly landed as he won eased down by two lengths and because that was a handicap confined to apprentice riders, he escapes a penalty for this afternoon’s follow up attempt over the same track and trip (3.40pm), when he can run off a mark 19lb lower than his all-weather rating. He looks the type who can run up a sequence before the handicapper gets hold of him.
We have to wait for the last race of the day, a 1m handicap at Musselburgh (9.10pm), for the third and final bet, but patience should be rewarded. That’s because the Mick Easterby-trained CURZON LINE is by far the best handicapped beast in the race, having escaped a penalty for his smooth success in an apprentice handicap at Ripon eight days ago. That run can be upgraded too as he was the only horse to make any impression from off a modest pace and he simply laughed at his rivals to score by a very comfortable two and a bit lengths.
The seven-year-old lost his way badly in 2015, which saw his handicap mark nosedive as a result from a high of 84, but having been nursed back to form by his in-form trainer it would be no surprise to see him make hay in the coming weeks and rattle off a sequence. He clearly goes well too for his claiming rider Nathan Evans, who steered him to victory last time and whose 5lb claim makes his task all the more easier this evening. Good thing, I say.
A £10 treble on all three of today’s selections pays £216.56 at current Betfair odds, which are Best Odds Guaranteed.
All odds were correct at time of posting.