Our racing expert likes the look of two handicap chasers at Warwick.
MORNEY WING looked a reinvigorated horse when coasting home on his seasonal reappearance at Fontwell (3m2f) last month and Charlie Mann’s nine-year-old is taken to follow up in this afternoon’s 3m11/2f handicap chase at Warwick.
While it was only a class 5 that he won, he was carrying the welter burden of 11st 13lb and could have been called the winner a long way from home, with the decent gallop playing to his strengths as he’s a resolute stayer. The ground was much faster than he’s used to but he coped admirably and is sure to appreciate the little more dig in today’s ground, while another strong gallop seems likely.
The handicapper stepped in after that facile success, raising him 12lb to a new mark of 113, but that’s still 10lb below his highest winning mark over fences – achieved when beating off 13 rivals in the 2017 Sussex National – and he’s on the same mark as when last successful at Fakenham in March. He’s arguably in even better form now.
Kilmurvy, his nearest rival in the betting, ended a long losing run on his latest outing in July, but he’s now 6lb higher in a tougher race. So a bigger danger to the selection may come from Irish Octave, who is 5-11 over fences and is best suited by good ground, albeit he was well held off today’s mark last time.
There’s a big turnout for the 2m4f handicap chase with 14 set to go to post, but several of these are hard to fancy on recent form and WEST WIZARD could prove far too good, despite having to shoulder top weight.
The Sophie Leech-trained nine-year-old just gets into this class 4 contest off a mark of 112, which is the handicap ceiling, and he’s very well treated on his old form, having been as high as 130 (136 over hurdles). He was running off 119 when finishing a respectable eighth (of 20) in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival in March.
Today’s contest is considerably easier and he’s in good enough form to take advantage, judging by his two efforts this autumn. After making a winning reappearance in a competitive contest at Market Rasen in September, he was still travelling well when unseating his rider at Ffos Las on his most recent outing, which was uncharacteristic as he’s a sound jumper in the main.
Paddy Brennan takes over the reigns for the first time this afternoon and that’s another positive as he’s got a good record on the stable runners. This season alone he’s booted home four winners from 19 rides (21%) along with seven seconds, with all his rides yielding a tidy £23.00 profit to £1 level-stakes.
Dan Skelton’s Too Much Too Soon is actually preferred by bookmakers and while he’s respected as an eased down course and distance winner in May, he’s now a stone higher in the weights and has been beaten the last twice off lower marks than today’s. I’d much rather have the selection at the current odds.
All odds were correct at time of posting.