Our racing expert likes a couple of runners at Windsor this afternoon.
The Flat turf season is well under way – whether you like it or not – and we’d better get used to Windsor on Mondays, the track’s traditional slot.
As per usual, the card is largely made up of tricky-looking, low-grade handicaps and it’s even harder finding the winners at this early stage of the season as we’re guessing over the fitness of many of the runners.
That’s certainly the case in the 1m handicap for three-year-olds (3.50pm) with all bar two making their reappearance. Marco Botti’s Refulgence may do best of the pair who have been running on the all-weather, though he’s 0-9 now and I’d rather take a chance on the Paul Cole-trained CAITIE being straight enough on her return.
The daughter of Canford Cliffs showed some promise in four starts last term, including when finishing runner-up in a Wolverhampton maiden won by Spennithorne, who won again subsequently and is now rated in the 80s. The selection could therefore be well treated on a mark of 69 and her stable got off the mark for the season with another three-year-old runner making his handicap debut at Catterick last week.
I’m also taking a chance on the fitness of the Ivan Furtado-trained JUST BE LUCKY in the 1m handicap run earlier on the card (3.20pm) as he doesn’t look badly treated by any means on a mark of 71 based on the form he showed when trained by Jim Bolger in Ireland, where he finished in the first three on four occasions.
The now four-year-old showed little in a couple of starts for his current trainer last autumn, despite attracting support, but he’s surely worth another chance now a year older and especially given Furtado’s trainer’s record of improving horses sent to him from other yards. His booking of Silvestre De Sousa is another positive as the Brazilian has a 40% (6-15) strike rate on the stable runners for a profit of £13.27.