Our racing expert has highlighted a couple of Windsor runners to back, one at 14/1.
Plenty of racing today (too much, perhaps?) and I can’t believe we’re already into the evening fare.
Yes, Windsor has a 4.50pm start and the ground at the Berkshire venue is set to be heavy, so we’re looking for horses proven in the conditions. The first bet ticks that box and can also boast the best form, with his stable absolutely flying to boot. I’m talking about the Charlie Fellowes-trained BAADI, who contests the 1m2f maiden (due off 5.50pm).
He showed progressive form in three starts last season, including when finishing second on the second of those at Nottingham on ground that was officially ‘soft’. He stepped up on that when again finishing runner-up on his third and final start at Ripon and that form looks rock solid as the third won next time out and the winner Argus twice more.
Andrea Atzeni was on board Argus for the last of those wins and he will get the leg up on the selection this afternoon, with his strike rate for the stable standing at an impressive 29% (2-7). But it’s the current stable form is more compelling with five winners already on the board this term – including 20/1 shot Accession at Newmarket last week – and nine others finishing in the first three.
Since writing this on Sunday afternoon, the bookmakers have priced up the selection at odds-on (10/11 best), which is a shame but understandable all the same – given he has so much going for him he may go off even shorter!
At this stage of the season it pays to listen (or read) what trainers are saying as recent form is thin on the ground and you’re guessing over the fitness of several runners. So, I’m making no excuses for using Dean Ivory’s recent Stable Tour as a source for the day’s second bet, SECRET BIRD, who is running in the 6f handicap run later on the Windsor card (7.50pm).
He wrote: ‘He came to us from Darley, where he clearly had issues, but after a lot of time and patience we got him out last April and he won on his fourth run at Windsor in September off 58. He starts this season 5lb higher and I’m sure he’ll need competitive. He’ll make his return back at Windsor and I expect him to go well as his work has been good and he wouldn’t need the run as much as many.’
It’s a competitive race this afternoon and several of his rivals are for from the all-weather. Not many, though, have form on the prevailing ground and that can’t be said of the selection who finished runner-up on heavy at Chepstow last August under today’s pilot Robert Winston, who was also on board for his win here. The partnership must have solid each-way claims at the available 14/1.