Our resident tipster has spotted a couple of potentially well-placed horses at Carlisle this evening.
David Pipe continues to churn out the winners, with a brace over the weekend, and he breaks new territory on Monday with IMPULSIVE AMERICAN being his first flat runner at Carlisle.
The three-year-old makes the 342 mile journey from Pipe’s Somerset base to contest the opening 1m3f handicap for apprentice riders (due off 5.05pm) and that has to be a tip in itself. As regards his form, we’re a little in the dark as he is making his British / stable debut here having had nine starts in France, finishing runner-up on the last two of those in maiden company.
That said, the Pipe’s are renowned for their exploits with ex-French horses and they are likely to have a very good idea of where they stand with this gelding, who has been given an initial mark of 64. That may prove very generous in time and it seems significant that connections are not using a claiming rider to reduce the horse’s burden, preferring instead to go with the relative experience of Shane Gray, who has struck up such a good partnership Kevin Ryan with Charlie Appleby this season.
The selection is well entered up later this week, with options at Bath, Wolverhampton and Ffos Las, and it would be no surprise to see him win this before being turned out again quickly. As today’s race is confined to apprentices, he won’t pick up a penalty if successful, a fact unlikely to be lost on the ultra-shrewd Pipe operation.
I’m sticking to Carlisle for the day’s other selection, the Richard Fahey-trained BIMBO, who takes a big drop in class in the fillies handicap run over a few yards short of 6f (6.40pm). With the contest open to fillies rated 61-80, it’s a case of good placement by Fahey as she was dropped to that higher mark after her last run in a class 2 over 7f at Newmarket. She didn’t quite get home on that occasion, having shown plenty of pace early, and on her previous start in another 7f class 2 at the Newmarket July meeting, where she again looked to be treading water close home.
The drop back to 6f is therefore massively in her favour and it was over this trip that she won at Newmarket (a Class 4, same as today) three starts back and on her debut at Pontefract last June. In all reality, she probably stays a little further so today’s stiff six is ideal, and Jack Garritty’s claim could make all the difference in a race that won’t take an awful lot of winning.
All odds were correct at time of posting.