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Horse Racing Tips of the Day – Monday August 6

Our racing expert marks your card for the action at Windsor this evening.

William Muir’s Miss M is entitled to favoritism in the opening 1m4f handicap having scored in easy fashion over course and distance seven days ago. That she is being turned out again so quickly is no surprise then and especially as she’s effectively 5lb well-in under her penalty in what is a lower grade contest.

She’s not opposed lightly but there is almost certainly considerable improvement to come from handicap debutant POUCOR and he’s a value alternative at a double-digit price. A promising fourth on his debut at Chepstow almost a year ago, he has been given a plater’s mark of just 59 based on a couple of well beaten efforts since and he’s got to be better than that.

Another reason to think he can go well here is his breeding as he’s a half-brother to five winners out of a mare who won at Listed level, while as a son of Derby winner Pour Moi he’s going to appreciate stepping up to this sort of trip for the first time.

He’s also helped by having promising apprentice Scott McCullagh on his back. His 7lb claim takes the selection’s weight down to just 8st 6lb, meaning he’s getting 17lb from the favourite, and the young rider is full of confidence after booting home three winners for the same stable in the last fortnight, including on his last two rides (5/1 & 7/1).

There seems to be plenty of market confidence behind LIVELY LYDIA in the maiden auction fillies’ stakes over 6f and it’s easy to see why as she wasn’t beaten far into third over course and distance two weeks ago. That effort can be marked up a little too as she had a wide draw to overcome and she also appeared suited by the one furlong drop in trip, having performed with credit over 7f when making her racecourse debut at Chelmsford previously.

She’s a half-sister to five winners and is bred to stay further – her useful dam won over 1m as a juvenile and later over 2m – but she is not short of speed and can make it third time lucky this evening at the expense of main market rival Dawn Affair.

SELECTIONS

Windsor 5.30, Poucour @ 11/1 bet365
Windsor 6.30, Lively Lydia @ 6/4 bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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