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Horse Racing Tips of the Day – Monday January 4

The jumpers are in action at Musselburgh


Our resident tipster is sweet on three runners at Musselburgh this afternoon, including a 12/1 shot.

Racing looks sure to go ahead at Musselburgh this afternoon with the going at the Scottish track not quite as bad as elsewhere.

The seven-race card has attracted a good turnout too with a field of ten set to go to post for the opening maiden hurdle (due off 12.20pm). All bar two have experience over hurdles and the best of these may be Lac Leman, who showed a decent level of form when with Paul Nicholls and is making his first start for Pauline Robson here.

However, he can take a keen hold and, besides, will do well to cope with the Nicky Richards-trained newcomer STRAIT OF MAGELLAN. A dual winner for Michael Bell in the flat with a peak rating of 82, he changed hands for 58,000gns in the autumn and looks the type to do well over hurdles. His wins came at Bath and Catterick, both sharp sharp tracks, so Musselburgh ought to suit him and he is proven on ground with plenty of cut in it.

Sandy Thompson, who trains nearby in Berwickshire, was amongst the winners at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day with stable star Seeyouatmidnight and he’s had a couple more winners since, meaning his last seven runners have achieved finishing positions of 2311261. Clearly his string is in rude health and that makes JOHN WILLIAMS, his sole runner at Musselburgh, of interest when he runs in the 2m7f handicap hurdle (2.25pm).

The seven-year-old is making his handicap debut after showing promise in three subsequent runs over hurdles, including a staying on third over 2m3f at Carlisle in May, and this Irish point winner has been handed a very fair opening mark of 102, with 7lb claimer Steven Fox easing his burden further. Even better we get to back him at 12/1.

The closing bumper (3.30pm) is largely contested by horses who have had a run previously and of these bookmakers are favouring the Michael Smith-trained Black Ink, who has finished runner-up on both his bumper starts to date. He is respected but it could be worth taking a chance on the fitness of Peter Niven’s SAM FAIRYANN, who is making his racecourse debut here.

The five-year-old has the pedigree – he’s a son of Black Sam Bellamy and a half-brother to a hurdles and bumper winner – to suggest he can thrive in this sphere, and his trainer does well with his runners in these type of races. Over the past five seasons, he has had nine winners from 58 runners (16%) and he’s down particularly well here with four of his nine runners (44%) ending up in the winner’s circle. If you’d backed all his runners (all races) here over the same period, you would be showing a very healthy profit of £39.75. His booking of Brian Hughes is another positive and clinches the bet.


Musselburgh 12.20, Strait Of Magellan @ 5/4 bet365
Musselburgh 2.25, John Williams each-way @ 12/1 Paddy Power
Musselburgh 3.30, Sam Fairyann @ 8/1 Paddy Power

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