Our racing expert marks your card for Monday's racing.
All three of today’s bets are running at Windsor this evening with decent prices available on the trio.
First up is the Clive Cox-trained PERPETUAL CHANGE in the Sky Bet Handicap over 1m2f (due off 6.45pm). The three-year-old is making his handicap debut off what looks a very workable mark of 71 and ran his best race in three runs so far over a mile at Bath last time, finishing fourth of the 13 runners on ground that was softer than ideal.
With conditions more suitable here and with the extra two furlongs likely to suit the son of Derby winner Pour Moi, he should go close under Adam Kirby, who rides the majority of the stable winners and has a respectable 18% strike rate at this track. Roger Varian’s Absolute Zer0 is feared most.
Lightning Charlie heads the market for the 6f Sky Bet Top Price Every Favourite Handicap (7.15pm) after an impressive success at Kempton last time, but he’s been raised to a career-high mark of 84 as a result, meaning he’s giving weight away all round, and he’s yet to win on turf. That makes him opposable and Malcolm Saunders’ course and distance winner PIXELEEN looks the one to be on.
She too is racing off her highest ever figure but proved she can be competitive off it when third in a better race at Newmarket last time on ground that was too slow for her liking. Previously, she’d finished a length second to Growl, who has won again since off a mark of 93, and that was following on from another second place finish behind Rio Ronaldo over track and trip under today’s rider Oisin Murphy. He was also on board when she won her maiden here in July 2014 and I’m hopeful he can conjure another win out of her at her favourite track.
Charlie Hills has his string in excellent nick with three winners to show from his last four runners and FASHION PARADE, his sole runner at the Berkshire venue, is taken to follow up her recent Brighton maiden success in the EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Fillies’ Handicap (8.20pm) over an extended 1m3f. That trip could see her in an even better light as she was doing all her best work late on when getting up in the final strides at the seaside track, having shown promise in 7f and 1m maidens previously.
Now qualified for handicaps and having been fairly assessed on an opening mark of 80, she ought to keep on progressing and this looks a decent opportunity against some largely out of form and more exposed older rivals. Indeed, her biggest danger may be fellow three-year-old filly Dora’s Field, who was beaten just a head at Beverley last time. This is a higher grade race, though, and the selection can have her measure.