Our resident tipster is hoping to swell the Glorious Goodwood betting bank with a couple of bets at Windsor this evening.
It’s Monday and therefore it must be Windsor this evening, with a six-pack card starting at 6.00pm.
Heavy rain has turned the going at the Berkshire venue to a very un-summer like “good to soft” and it could pay to be wary of those horses who have even making hay on the fast ground.
Applying that to the 6f handicap for fillies (due off 7.00pm) and it could be worth taking on Richard Hannon’s Paint The Star, who seemed to relish a fast surface when winning at Pontefract last month and has never raced on ground this soft. She’s also up 5lb for winning what was a weak four-runner race and this is tougher.
She’s disputing favouritism with QUITE A STORY and Clive Cox’s filly looks the one to be on. It’s true she also won on fast ground last time, confirming the promise she had shown when runner-up at Bath on her debut, but her trainer made a point of saying in a recent stable interview that she wouldn’t want the ground too quick. He also described her handicap mark of 70 as being “workable” and there’s every chance this half-sister to Perfect Cracker, a seven-time winner for the stable, can keep on improving.
Favourites have won the last three runnings of this race and two of those were three-year-olds, so the selection would hardly be bucking a trend in that respect and the current 4/1 on offer looks a shade generous.
I’m staying at Windsor for the second bet in the shape of MOLLY CAT, who makes a quick reappearance in closing 1m3f handicap (8.35pm) following a good fourth at Lingfield on Saturday. She was entitled to need that run, her first since October last year, and she clearly still retains the sort of ability she showed when winning a Wetherby bumper and chasing home the smart Clondaw Banker in a similar race at Kempton.
Lightly-raced since and now under the care of Neil Mulholland, who is making a big name for himself as a dual purpose trainer, she ought to be up to winning a small race like this one off her current mark of 64, with her ability to act on a soft surface proven. She’s not favourite as that honour goes to Oskar Denarius, a winner on soft ground at Chepstow when last seen out in May. That was a poor race, though, and he only got it in the stewards’ room, having looked decidedly quirky during the race and on previous starts.
The Richard Hughes-ridden Shalianzi will get some attention from punters as the race, likely to mark Hughes’ last ride at the track before he retires, is named in his honour. However, his mount has not been sighted since pulling up in a novices handicap at Plumpton in April, and he didn’t appear suited by soft ground when finishing next to last at the same track in December.
All odds were correct at time of posting.