Our resident tipster is hoping to start the week with a bang.
David O’Meara has a terrific record of improving horses switched from other yards and TREASURY NOTES is the latest example of his skills.
The three-year-old had shown a little promise for his previous trainer, but he stepped up considerably on that when finishing third on his debut for O’Meara and made no mistake when turned out at Hamilton just six days later, winning by a head. That was quite a competitive race for the grade and he can be rated a bit better as he looked to have plenty to do three out, before staying on well to lead close home.
The handicapper could only raise him 2lb for that effort and his new rating of 77 looks very workable given his trainer’s track record. He has another two furlongs to travel this afternoon but given the manner of his victory he has every chance of staying and may well improve for the greater stamina test. He will have to ask he’s up in grade and some of these are coming off good runs, most notably Dance King, who finished second of 20 at York,but the selection has the greater scope for improvement.
The two 5f handicaps that close out the card look nigh on impossible, but there’s enough juice in the price of David Brown’s RUBY’S DAY in division 1 (5.10pm) to merit a small each-way interest. The six-year-old makes a quick reappearance after finishing last at Musselburgh six days ago, when he was repeatedly denied a run in the closing stages, and is just 3lb higher than when winning over this trip at Doncaster in July. With his stable in top form – four winners from 17 runners (24%) in the last fortnight – he could well outrun his current 25/1 price tag and a place would ensure a nice profit.
Plumpton provides today’s jumps action and the best race at the Sussex track is undoubtedly the 2m3f handicap chase, in which the Alan King-trained Gone Too Far is attempting to defy top weight. A winner of two of this three starts this season – handicap chases at Uttoxeter and Warwick – he’s entitled to be favourite off, but he has tended to be most effective when fresh and this comes just 27 days after his last success. Given he finished well beaten at Newton Abbot in July after a similar break, he could be worth taking on and it’s not like we’re short of alternatives.
You can make a case for all his seven rivals, but none appeal more than the Colin Tizzard-trained BUCKHORN TIMOTHY. Like several of these, he is making his chase debut this afternoon, having shown a good level of ability over hurdles. The selection won twice over the smaller obstacles last season, but has always looked more of a chaser and it seems significant that his trainer is pitching him straight into handicap company to perhaps exploit what is a generous mark.
The real clincher for a bet is the excellent form of his stable with the last three representatives to have run winning, and two of those were making their seasonal reappearances. His price of 5/1 is not too shabby either.
All odds were correct at time of posting.