Our horse racing expert marks your card for Monday's action at Windsor.
Apprentice Jason Watson is on fire with his 44 rides in the last fortnight yielding 12 winners (27%) and he could again be on the mark at Windsor as he has a good book of rides.
The pick of those may turn out to be NEW QUEEN in the 1m nursery as Charlie Hills’ filly is potentially nicely treated now making her handicap debut off a mark of 75.
A headstrong type who threw her race away in the preliminaries prior to finishing third on her second outing at Bath in May, she again looked a handful when reappearing at Kempton (7f) 19 days ago, jinking sharply right after leaving the stalls. She was keeping on at the finish, though, with just two lengths gap separating her and the winner at the line, and that qualified her for a mark.
Clearly, the raw ability is there and with the hood she wore last time back on it wouldn’t surprise to see her record a personal best over this longer trip, which could prove ideal based on her breeding. Watson’s 3lb claim will come in handy too and his sole ride for the stable so far was a winning one.
Watson’s record when getting the leg up for Amanda Perrett is an eye-catching 3-5 (60%) and that’s not the only reason to side with DAGIAN in the 1m2f handicap as the three-year-old is surely capable of better than he has shown so far.
After showing promise on a couple of juvenile starts, the son of New Approach made his belated seasonal debut at this track in July, when upped to 1m for the first time. While he was beaten a fair way into second by the odds-on Argentilo (a winner again since and now rated 98), it was a pleasing enough return and he’s just the type to make his mark in handicaps off an initial perch of 75, especially over today’s longer trip which should suit on breeding.
We have to take his fitness on trust after a 64-day break but this class 5 won’t take much winning and the stable form (5-18 in the last fortnight) is another positive in that respect.
Watson’s other booked rides are Parnassian (3:55), another Perrett-inmate who could go well in first-time blinkers, Minovia (7:30) and Wiley Post in the 5f sprint (6:00). The latter horse wasn’t beaten far in a better race over 6f here last time, but HARRY HURRICANE looks the one to be on after his luckless fourth over course and distance last time out.
George Baker’s six-year-old is on a long losing run going back to September 2016 but he has become very well handicapped as a result – his current mark of 82 is 14lb lower than his last winning one – and might have taken advantage over this course and distance 14 days ago had things gone his way. Backed into favouritism beforehand, he was squeezed out when going for a gap inside the final furlong and then hampered a couple of rivals (including the second Bashiba) when switched left in search of another way through, eventually finishing a little over a length behind the winner.
The re-opposing runner-up has to be respected and is favourite with some firms, but the selection’s 2lb pull in the weights could prove decisive.
All odds were correct at time of posting.