Our resident tipster is putting up a trio of runners to back this afternoon, including a 16/1 chance at Ascot.
I’m left feeling a little underwhelmed by the Longchamp card on Saturday so will be sticking closer to home in the search for winners.
Ascot looks a good starting place and the opening Albert Bartlett Rous Stakes (due off 2.00pm) looks tailor-made for veteran sprinter MEDICEAN MAN to get his head back in front. He doesn’t win very often, admittedly, but he invariably runs his race over 5f at this track, finishing a short head second in the Group 1 King’s Stand Stakes on his last visit here.
He was only sixth in a Doncaster Listed contest last time, but he finished down the field in that race before his Rous Stakes third to Steps in 2003 and this race is likely to have been his hug autumn tragedy for a good while. At 5/1, he looks a decent bet to see off 12 rivals, many of whom also struggle to win, and take his course and distance record below Group 3 level to 3-5 in the process.
The Totescoop6 Challenge Cup run over 7f (3.45pm) looks ultra competitive on paper – and it is! I must have backed at least half the 18-runner field at some stage this season and I’m going to give another chance to Charlie Hills’ TANZEEL, who did me a good turn when winning at Haydock three starts back when looking like a potential Group horse.
I fancied him for last month’s Ayr Gold Cup and partly because I thought he had a terrific draw in stall 25. As it turned out he didn’t have a cat in hells chance, with the runners coming up the middle and his jockey staying stands’ side, and you can safely put a line through his performance. His trainer would agree no doubt and reports him to ha e come out of the race well. With the ground also coming right for him, he looks worthy of each-way support at the current 16s.
Richard Fahey has been the trainer to follow the last two Saturdays, adding last weekend’s Cambridgeshire to his six winners on Ayr Gold and Silver Cup, and he can land another big pot with MAYFAIR LADY,, who has been put in as favourite for Redcar’s Two-Year-Old Trophy (3.00pm). She was one of the the easiest winners of a race at York’s Ebor meeting you’ll ever see and she can be excused a below-par fourth when upped in class at Salisbury last time as the rain-softened ground blunted her speed.
She’s sure to have been well tuned for this is race which pays out a whopping £99k to the winner and, with weights determined by sales price, she gets to carry just 8st 9lb on account of being a relatively cheap filly. The fact she’s just 100/30 in a huge field of 23 might put some punters off, but not me and I take plenty of encouragement from the fact five of the last ten winners came frorm the first two in the betting. Indeed, backing all the first and second favourites in this period would have resulted in a small profit.