Our resident tipster fancies a couple of chasers at Kempton on Sunday.
The New One makes his seasonal reappearance at Kempton this afternoon in a race he has won for the last two years and, like 12 months ago, he has a penalty kick.
That’s reflected in the betting of course and odds of just 1/5 mean we have to look elsewhere for a bet. Fortunately the handicaps offer up a couple of betting opportunities, with Tim Vaughan’s KOULTAS KING fancied in the 3m handicap chase (due off 3.50pm).
The eight-year-old has the least experienced of the eight runners with just one start over fences, that coming at Stratford in August when he found only Sgt Bull Terry a half length too good. He looked certain to score that day after leading before the last, only to flag on the run-in and just get caught. That was still a promising chase debut and it can be upgraded as it transpired that he had lost a shoe during the race.
He’s since finished second again when switching back to hurdles, but he lost little in that defeat to an in-form rival and has the scope and size to be a much better chaser. Richard Johnson said as much after riding him to a hurdle success at Huntingdon a couple of seasons back, describing him as a “3m chaser in the making”, and this looks an ideal opportunity for him to start living up to that prediction.
The second bet is in the 2m handicap chase run later on the card (5.00pm) in the shape of the Laura Mongan-trained MORGAN’S BAY. The ten-year-old carries bottom weight here and is a course and distance winner, a novice chase in 2013, and you can put a line through his disappointing run at the track last time as he found the 2m4f trip beyond him.
He’s making his seasonal reappearance this afternoon and has to concede a fitness advantage to the likely favourite Walden Prince, who has been making hay over the summer and is chasing a fifth win from seven starts, but first time out may be the best time to catch him. Indeed, both his wins last season came after breaks of at least three months and he’s likely to have had this race as his target for a while.
Kempton 3.50, Koultas King @ best morning-line price
Kempton 5.00, Morgan’s Bay @ best morning-line price