Our racing expert is eyeing up three bets at Carlisle this afternoon.
Michael Dods runs a couple of last-time-out winners in the 6f novice and, of the pair, Kolossus is preferred to stablemate Gale Force Maya as he showed a terrific attitude under pressure when scoring at Ayr last and has the scope to improve further.
But they both have penalties to overcome and could prove vulnerable to Richard Fahey’s RAPTURE, one of two fillies in the race and therefore getting weight from the boys.
On racecourse evidence, she may well be able to take advantage having built on her debut third at Beverley (5f, good to firm) to finish a keeping on second on her return to the same track and trip. The winner Glass Slippers is well regarded and has been given a rating of 82 (entered at Chester this weekend) and there was a big gap back to the third, so the form looks solid enough.
Further improvement is almost a given and especially now she tackles an extra furlong, with her breeding suggesting she will relish it. The one slight worry is the forecast soft ground but her sire Dutch Art didn’t mind some cut and presumably Fahey wouldn’t be running her if he had serious reservations.
Should Dods be out of luck in the novice, he can still bag a winner (or two) as he some solid chances elsewhere on the card. In particular, I like the look of his QUEENS GIFT in the 6f handicap.
The daughter of Canford Cliffs overcame a sluggish start to score on her debut at Ripon in June and only just failed to follow up under a penalty before getting back to winning ways at Newcastle. Her most recent effort in defeat, a strong finishing third on her handicap debut in a class 2 at Haydock, was another step forward and showed she was going the right way.
The handicapper has left her mark of 80 alone, which has allowed her to get into this class 4 off top weight, with Callum Rodriguez claiming a handy 3lb off her back, and today’s stiff 6f should suit her ideally.
She’s entered in next months Ayr Gold Cup and while that looks a tad optimistic at this stage given her current rating, she can could well end up in the Silver version and the few pounds she will go up for winning today will increase her chances of getting in.
Dods’ FLINT HILL should go close in what looks quite a competitive 7f nursery now back at the scene of his excellent second behind Nate The Great, who went on to finish a neck second in the Chesham at Royal Ascot and is now rated 100.
A mark of 75 shouldn’t be beyond the selection then and while he was a disappointing favourite at Musselburgh on his most recent outing, that run was coming off the back of a two-month break and may have been needed.
If he’s to justify an entry in Redcar’s Listed Two Year Old Trophy, he really ought to go close to winning this modest class 5 contest.
All odds were correct at time of posting.