Our racing expert has three to back at Carlisle this afternoon.
There’s a cracking jumps card at Carlisle this afternoon for punters to get stuck into and I’m hopeful the following three horses can help us turn a profit.
There was no betting up for the 2m beginners’ chase at the time of writing and I just hope bookmakers are not too stingy over the prospects of DELIRE D’ESTRUVAL as he’s by far the most likely winner in my mind. A Listed winner over hurdles who reached a peak of 138 in that sphere, he has the size and scope to make a better chaser and a stiff two miles, which is what he gets here, should prove ideal for him.
He has reportedly strengthened up over the summer and while he’s been since April, his four rivals are also returning after layoffs. His trainer Ben Pauling is a rare visitor to the track from his Gloucestershire base and he had a 5/1 winner four days ago. UPDATE – the selection is easy to back this morning – out to 100/30 from 9/4 – whereas the main danger Stowaway Magic is strong as even money favourite.
Warren Greatrex runs a couple at the track including winning pointer Trio For Rio in the opening novices’ hurdle. He’s not without a chance but I prefer the chances even more of his stablemate EVRON in the 2m1f handicap hurdle under Daryl Jacob. The ex-French four-year-old is making his British debut and given his last two placed efforts over fences back in April, when achieving Racing Post ratings in the mid to high 120s, he ought to be very competitive now back over the smaller obstacles off a mark of 119.
The market will tell us if he’s fancied but he’s joined a shrewd stable and runs in the two-tone green colours of Simon Munir and Isaac Souede, who know a good horse when they see one.
The red-hot form of the Nigel Twiston-Davies stable is encouraging for the prospects of BALLYMALIN in the feature handicap chase over an extended 3m2f. Stamina is going to be at a premium and the eight-year-old has that in spades, as he showed when finishing third of the 18 runners in the Midlands Grand National back in March under today’s rider Tom Bellamy.
He found 2m7f around Worcester too sharp when making his seasonal reappearance last season, albeit that didn’t stop him putting in a gutsy display to prevail in a tight finish, and he’s now rated a full 12lb lower. That was his third consecutive success after a break (91, 166 and 175 days) so I doubt the fact he’s been absent since April is going to hinder his chances, and he’s likely been primed for this valuable prize.
All odds were correct at time of posting.