Our resident tipster has his sights on a trio of runners at Newbury this evening, including a value 15/2 shot.
Brighton has been given the go ahead after an early morning inspection but with the ground riding heavy and a stack of non-runners, the meeting is best swerved for punting purposes.
Conditions are also set to be testing at Newbury this evening but that shouldn’t inconvenience Roger Charlton’s CLOWANCE ONE. The going was good when the Oasis Dream colt made an encouraging debut third at this venue back in May, when separating a couple of subsequent winners, and the winner Scottish subsequently finished second in the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot. That looks solid form and and there is almost certainly better to come from this well-bred colt.
He faces a couple of promising rivals here and Bellajeu in particular could prove hard to beat. Ralph Beckett’s filly ran in the Oaks (tailed off) and sets a high form standard on her second in the Classic trial at Lingfield in May. However, she’s now 0-5 and was far from convincing when runner-up at odds-on in a four-runner Chester maiden last time. She looks opposable on balance and helps to make the market for the selection.
The Luca Cumani-trained DUFFEL should prove too good for his six rivals in the closing 6f handicap on the card (7.40pm). Dropped back to this trip for his handicap debut at Wolverhampton last time, he was heavily supported and his backers duly collected. He’s been hit with an 8lb rise for that cosy success but he’s lightly-raced after just four starts and this well-bred sort should have more to offer. His half-sister Patterned won on turf so that helps alleviate any fears about him not being so effective on this surface and today’s opposition is far from taxing.
We’re down to just six runners in the 5f nursery run earlier (6.10pm) after the defection of Shaden (unsuitable ground) and there are a couple of horses disputing favouritism; Fashionable Spirit and Sahreej, trained by Mark Johnston and Charlie Hills respectively. Neither have run on ground as soft as this, though, and they look opposable at the odds.
Richard Hannon’s NOVEMBER is the interesting one at the bottom of the weights as she’s shown promise on all three of his starts so far, including in a maiden here just nine days ago. Bet365’s free bets cash in on this market’s odds are already reflecting strong interest for November and Bookies.com full coverage will see if the early bets are right. On ground described as “good to soft”, she moved sweetly for a long way at the head of affairs before tiring close home over the 6f trip, having previously run third in a Sandown maiden over a furlong less. The drop back to the minimum is therefore in her favour and her initial handicap mark of 68 looks very fair, with Cam Hardie taking 3lb off her back.