Our racing expert marks your card for Tuesday's racing.
Dual Group 1-winning sprinter Kingsgate Native is set to retire after running in the feature Conditions Stakes over 5f at Nottingham this evening – unless he bolts up.
The Robert Cowell-trained 11-year-old is having his 59th start and is rated a 16/1 shot to record what would an eighth career win, to go with umpteen placed efforts at a high level. However, he’s that price for a reason having shown precious little in four stars in 2016 and you have to go back to May of last year for the last time he entered the winners’ circle.
What seems far more likely is a victory for his stablemate STRATH BURN, who is nicely clear on the ratings and should win if he runs close to his best. That hasn’t been the case in three starts this term, including when sent off favourite at Doncaster last time on his stable debut, but he seemed to resent the change to front-running tactics on that occasion and is likely to be dropped in by Oisin Murphy here. The clear form pick on his short head defeat in the Group 1 Sprint Cup last September, he definitely deserves another chance in this company for a trainer who excels with sprinters.
He’s not much of a price but Hugo Palmer’s KODIAC KHAN should take all the beating in the 6f nursery run earlier on the card. After failing to run up to market expectations on his first two starts, the penny appeared to have dropped at Thirsk last time when he found only Fashion Queen a length and a quarter too good. The winner has a Group 2 entry and an official rating of 81, so the selection is potentially nicely treated on 75 with the step back up to 6f in his favour and with first-time blinkers likely to eek out some further improvement.
David Brown’s Looting is another potentially well handicapped runner coming off a second-place effort (Redcar, 6f) and he must rate a danger in receipt of 7lb. However, his stable has been struggling for winners of late and Palmer will have a good idea of where is runner stands as he supplied the Redcar third, Dawoodi.
Tim Vaughan is better known for training summer jumpers but he does well with the few horses he runs on the level – 2-5 (40%) in 2016 – and his IFAN should go well in the opening apprentice handicap over 1m2f. The selection was a winner over that trip at Brighton three starts back and only narrowly failed to follow up when returned there on his next start, before patently failing to stay 1m4f last time. Now reunited with promising apprentice Mitch Godwin, who was on board for the Brighton win and is 2-4 on the stable runners overall, he’s well worth a small dabble to beat some largely out of form rivals.