Our racing expert has earmarked three runners for potential profit.
The jumpers are in action at Newton Abbot thus evening and the feature 2m4f handicap chase (6.30pm) makes plenty of appeal as a betting medium.
The ten runners include a couple of last-time-out winners in Fear Glic, who is running under a 7lb penalty for last week’s easy Stratford success, and Gowanauthat, who is seeking a four-timer. While they are both respected, they are also opposable in a race that is more competitive than they are used to and the latter’s tendency to jump to the right has to be another worry around this left-handed track.
They make the market for everything else and it’s the Philip Hobbs-trained BINCOMBE that rates the value bet at a tasty 9/1 with bet365. The eight-year-old has dropped to a mark of 120, which is the same as the one he last won off, and this is his best trip, with all five of his chase wins coming between 2m3f and 2m5f. He travelled like the winner for much of the way when last seen out at Newbury in April before tiring close home on his first start since December, and it’s worth taking a chance on him stripping fitter here with his stable in fine form – Hobbs’ last seven runners have finished 1312222.
This is the time of year when the Sir Mark Prescott stable tends to hit peak and three winners in the last ten days suggest the floodgates may be about to open for the Newmarket handler. His MONJENI, who runs in Leicester’s opening handicap over an extended 1m3f (6.10pm), looks just the type he excels with having had three runs in maiden company over inadequate trips to qualify for a handicap mark, before being placed to advantage over further.
As a son of Montjeu the selection should certainly relish this evening’s test and the testing ground shouldn’t be a problem either as plenty of his sire’s progeny act on soft / heavy. It’s interesting to see that he has a couple of further entries later on this week and, like so many of his stablemates in the past, he’s likely to be kept busy once getting his head in front, which shouldn’t be too difficult in this class 6 contest off a mark of just 62, which surely massively underestimates his ability.
The ground was riding soft when the Chris Wall-trained MATILDA’S LAW made her racecourse debut at Leicester last July and that she ran an encouraging fourth (of 14) inspires confidence that she will handle the testing conditions when she makes her handicap debut in the 1m fillies’ handicap at the Midlands venue this evening (7.40pm).
She’s been beaten three further times since but as a result she has been handed what is a potentially generous opening of 64. She’s surely capable of better and encouragement for that can be gleaned from her reappearance run at Lingfield in May, when she made good late headway into third to be beaten by less than a length. That form was given a boost when the fourth, Ablon, won a Windsor handicap off a mark off 66, and the selection should have more to offer after just four starts. The fact her stable is in flying form – four winners from ten runners this month – clinches the bet.
All odds were correct at time of posting.