Our racing expert is eyeing up a trixie bet at Ayr.
It’s clear there is plenty of market confidence behind the trio of John McConnell-trained runners at Ayr this afternoon, which makes for a little betting intrigue on what is a very mundane Tuesday of racing action.
First up is VINNIE’S WISH in the 6f handicap and he must have as good a chance as any given he is unexposed after just five starts and ran well to finish third (of 15) on his most recent outing at Listowel (7f). That was his first run since May, so he’s entitled to come on for it, and the speed he showed to have every chance a furlong out before running out of steam late on suggests he won’t be inconvenienced by dropping back a furlong here. Already a winner over this trip, that coming on soft ground at Naas last November, he is surely a bit better than his current mark (72) and the booking of Ben Curtis to ride is significant as he is 3-4 on the stable runners.
His stablemate JO BINNEY goes in the 7f handicap and she too has been chalked up as favourite. In a race where the majority are thoroughly exposed, she makes plenty of appeal after showing improved form when stepped in trip on her handicap bow at Hamilton nine days ago. Having shown only a modicum of ability on her three qualifying runs in maidens, she was able to run off a lowly rating of 56 and so very nearly capitalised, only going down by a head after a blanket finish. Running off the same mark this afternoon, she can surely build on that effort on what is only her fifth start and Joe Fanning looks a good jockey booking.
Stablemate THE PERCH is challenging for favouritism in the 1m apprentice handicap. Of the three McConnell-trained runners, she has the least going for her in terms of form as she has not bettered fourth on her three outings to date, that coming in a Bellewstown maiden back in July when beaten 14 lengths. But as with her stablemate Jo Binney, she has been allotted a basement mark of just 43 (actually runs off 46 as she’s 3lb wrong) for her first foray into handicap company and it would be no surprise to see her previous form well behind under an experienced apprentice in Kieran Schofield.
The bookmakers are certainly taking no chances with her, with no bigger than 7/2 on offer at the time of writing, and this might be because they have already built up liabilities on the stable runners. I’m not normally one for following money (once the prices have gone) and I’d be a little surprised if they all won, but it’s hard to resist combining all three in a trixie (three doubles and a treble) to small stakes with nothing else grabbing the attention. UPDATE – all three selections have drifted this morning (revised prices @ 09:53 below) and I suspect bookies were just being overly cautious.
All odds were correct at time of posting.