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Horse Racing Tips of the Day – Tuesday October 4

A 16/1 shot running at Leicester is one of three bets this afternoon

Leicester

Our racing expert marks your card for Tuesday's action.

I’ve been tipping up far too many non-runners of late (five on Saturday due to going changes!) and the Lucy Wadham-trained PUMBLECHOOK was another source of frustration when getting scratched from a Windsor handicap yesterday.

Still, the three-year-old is not going to be idle for long as he’s been declared for the 1m3f handicap at Leicester this afternoon, which is perhaps the slightly easier option as he’s up against fellow three-year-olds.

There are some progressive types amongst them but the selection is also in that bracket and his form makes for interesting reading. Certainly his debut third behind subsequent Dante winner Wings Of Desire reads well and he had no trouble landing the odds in a Pontefract maiden on his next start. He could finish only fourth of the five runners when making his handicap debut at Doncaster when last seen out in July, but he was up against more experienced rivals and the second has done his bit to boost the form since.

Given his stout pedigree and the fact he resides in a dual purpose yard, it would be no surprise to see him out over hurdles before too long and he has the scope to make his mark in that sphere. But on racecourse evidence he ought to be up to winning on the level off his current mark and this is the first time he’s raced on an easier surface, which promises to suit. He’s got to be worth a small each-way interest.

The best bet at the Midlands venue looks to the Roger Varian-trained MONOTYPE, who faces seven rivals in the 1m4f handicap. An easy winner at Ffos Las last time (1m4f, soft) when beating Havana Beat, who is no mug having won in Listed company, he may off got off lightly with just a 6lb rise and there should be more to come too given that he’s had just seven starts.

He looks an ideal type for the November Handicap at Doncaster, having won his maiden at that track, but this is a good prize in its own right and everything is in place for a big run. A strong stayer, he will be galloping all the way to the line and the presence of Faithful Moment, who has made all to win his last two starts, should ensure he gets the strong gallop he needs. Andrea Atzeni, who has a healthy 20% strike rate on the stable runners, will do the steering.

The 6f handicap looks wide open and with bookmakers going 11/2 the field, I can’t resist having an each-way crack. Most of these have been on the go all season, but not so the Henry Spiller-trained DONT HAVE IT THEN who has been confined to just three starts in 2016. He will be nice and fresh as a result and showed he was approaching peak form when finishing a close fourth on the all-weather at Kempton last time, despite the race not being run to suit.

He’s changed stables since and his new trainer looks to have inherited a well handicapped horse as he’s now down to a mark of 63, which is 12 lower than when last successful. That was also at Kempton but he’s shown himself to be just as effective on turf and, indeed, wasn’t beaten far into third over track and trip last October off a 3lb higher. Tom Queally has been booked to ride and he’s should be able to make the most of what looks a good draw in stall 15.

SELECTIONS

Leicester 3.50, Monotype @ 3/1 BetVictor
Leicester 4.20, Dont Have It Then each-way @ 16/1 bet365
Leicester 4.50, Pumblechook each-way @ 10/1 Betfair

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