Our resident tipster is eyeing up a tasty 23/1 double at Carlisle.
There’s some modest fare on offer at this afternoon’s four meetings and somewhat strangely it’s flat action all the way.
There’s nothing jumping off the page at either Yarmouth or Chepstow, where the soft ground could throw up some shock results, and I’m therefore going to concentrate on Carlisle here, with a couple of runners catching the eye.
First up, I’ll be disappointed if Rebecca Bastiman’s GONE WITH THE WIND can’t see off his eight rivals in the North Associates Handicap run over a few yards shy of a mile (due off 5.15pm). He hasn’t won since landing back-to-back successes on the all-weather in the spring of 2014, but he signalled his turn was near when failing by just a short head to collar Six Silver Lane over a furlong further at Musselburgh 19 days ago. He looked certain to score that day – traded at 1.01 in running – and it clearly showed he had the ability to win on turf too.
The handicapper has raised him 3lb for his troubles, but his new mark of 62 is still on the generous side given he was as high as 76 at one point, and he has won off 8lb higher. He’s dropping back in trip today, but I don’t see that as a problem over this stiff track and he seems pretty versatile over the ground. The in-form Andrew Mullen rides and I’m hoping the selection can provide him with the first leg of a double.
He also gets the leg up on Nigel Tinkler’s CAESER THE GAESER in the Carlisle Youth Zone Handicap over an extended 5f (5.45pm). He takes over from Fergal Lynch on the gelding, who is bidding to follow up a neck success over track and trip 27 days ago. That was a big improvement on his previous three efforts and was all the way more commendable for the fact he was having his first start since May and was slow away.
He was sent off at 20/1 and would have been even bigger in running as he was held up in rear and was nudged along three furlongs out. However, he soon came back on the bit and, still only fourth entering the final furlong, he kept on well to lead at the post. Up 5lb for that effort, he still looks potentially well treated on a mark of 62 given he’s a big horse with ample scope for improvement and he should strip fitter this time. I rate him the best bet of the day.
The Andrew Mullen double pays 23/1 (3/1 x 5/1) with bet365. Yesterday’s sole selection Bloodsweatandtears won at 4/1 (advised at 8/1 in the morning) – hope you were on?!
All odds were correct at time of posting.