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Horse Racing Tips of the Day – Tuesday September 18

Our racing expert likes the look of a trio of Yarmouth runners.

James Fanshawe’s EXCELLED is fancied to defy a penalty in the 6f novice contest. The daughter of Exceed And Excel belied her starting price of 20/1 when scoring on her debut over this track and trip last month and she won well, quickening nicely at the finish with her jockey Daniel Muscutt not needing to get anywhere near the bottom of her.

A 100,000gns yearling and the second foal of a useful sprinter, she ought to be able to build on that and the red-hot form of her stable – 5-19 (26%) in the last fortnight – increases confidence further.

The Godolphin newcomer Dubai Opera is a potential fly in the ointment and it will be interesting which way she goes in the market, but she doesn’t have any fancy entries later this autumn and the selection’s experience can prove decisive. UPDATE – Dubai Opera is friendless in the market (out to 8/1), while all the money is for Ed Vaughan’s debutant Magic J, a Scat Daddy colt who cost $950,000 as a yearling, with bookmakers making him favourite across the board.

Fanshawe has double prospects on the card as his BOMBYX looks to have solid claims in the class 2 handicap over 1m31/2f. Whilst he’s giving weight away all round, this is far easier than the Group 3 Gordon Stakes he contested last time when not totally disgraced. Sent off the outsider of the four runners, he travelled well up to a point but couldn’t race on when it mattered, eventually finishing a distant third behind the winner Cross Counter.

The three-year-old had looked to be progressing nicely previously, only just missing out on some black type when fourth in Listed company at Goodwood before landing the odds in a Doncaster novice with the minimum of fuss. Indeed, he is yet to run a bad race in six starts, winning twice, and the switch to handicap company can see him add to his tally.

Anything trained by Chris Dwyer is always worth a second look at this track as, other than the all-weather venues, this is where he has the bulk of his winners. He also has string in excellent nick with four of his last eight runners ending up in the winners’ enclose and that has to be a big pointer to FAITHFUL PROMISE, who is much preferred to stablemate Precious Plum in the 6f handicap.

As a three-year-old taking on older rivals, she’s far less exposed than the majority of her rivals and looks to be on a winning mark of 65, having reached a high of 80 as a juvenile. She’s slipped down the weights as a result of some lacklustre displays earlier this season when under the care of Mark Johnston, but recent efforts for Dwyer have been far more encouraging. Third on her stable debut at Leicester in July, she’s run well on the all-weather the last twice despite things not really going her way.

If she’s going to add to her career tally of two wins, she won’t get many better opportunities than this modest class 5 and Josephine Gordon looks a good jockey booking as she rides this track better than most.


Yarmouth 2.20, Excelled @ 7/2 bet365
Yarmouth 2.50, Bombyx @ 7/2 Betfair
Yarmouth 3.50, Faithful Promise @ 8/1 bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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