Our racing expert marks your card for Wednesday's racing.
William Haggas’ DAWN HORIZONS went straight into my horse tracker after a hugely impressive maiden success at Doncaster last time and I’ve been eagerly awaiting her reappearance.
That happens this afternoon in the feature fillies’ handicap at Bath (2.40pm) and off what looks a very fair opening mark of 82, I’ll be surprised if she can’t follow up. Sadly, the bookmakers see it that way too and we’re being asked to take odds-on (5/6 best at the time of writing). That will put a lot of punters off, I know, but she is likely to be contesting much better races than this before long and looks a good thing.
If there are any doubts they are over the fast ground given she’s only encountered soft so far. However, her trainer, who has a 1-3 strike rate at the track, surely wouldn’t be risking such a lovely prospect if he didn’t think she could handle it.
There are some nice colts on display in the 7f maiden at Sandown this evening and the winner will have to be above average. Connections of the Saeed bin Suroor-trained LEADER’S LEGACY will be hoping that is the case as he cost a whopping $900,000 as a yearling, being a son of War Front out of a Grade 2 winner in the USA. That doesn’t guarantee success on the track of course, but the stable juveniles usually know their job first time up and this fellow is unlikely to prove an exception, with James Doyle doing the steering.
Indeed, backing all of the stable’s juveniles blind in 2016 would have a yielded a tidy profit, with nine individual winners from 23 runners (39%). Granted, this looks quite a hot maiden on paper and Richard Hannon’s Wahash looks best of those to have have had a run, but he helps make the market for the selection and 5/1 that he makes a winning debut looks fair.
The closing 5f handicap looks trappy to say the least, but it usually pays to stick with those drawn low nearest the far rail. Since the draw was reversed in 2011, 53 of the 116 races run over the minimum trip here have been won by horses in boxes one or two and SECRET ASSET, who will exit from stall two of eight, can be the latest to take advantage of that bias.
But that’s not the only reason to support the evergreen 11-year-old as he has been running well of late, finishing a close up fourth at Chester last time and third at Bath on his previous start. He managed to finish third from stall nine on his most recent appearance over track and trip and, drawn more favourably this evening, he can go two better.
All odds were correct at time of posting.