Our racing expert is eyeing up a trio of Bath runners as potential bets.
It’s hard to believe that the going at Bath is ‘soft’ given the time of year, but that won’t worry the connections of WILLSY, who relishes such conditions and can get his back in front in the closing 51/2f handicap (due off 9.00pm).
Mick Channon’s runner ploughed through the mud when winning at Chepstow last September and again over course and distance in April off just 3lb lower, with a success on the all-weather at Kempton in between. He’s been campaigned over further in recent starts without much success, but the return to sprinting should see him in a far better light and, given he stays at least 6f, I’d expect him to be finishing best of all under Franny Norton.
Norton also gets the leg up on the Mark Johnston-trained GOLD MERLION in the 1m2f handicap run earlier on the card, (6.30pm) and the three-year-old filly can help initiate a double for the rider.
The daughter of Alhaarth showed plenty of promise in a light juvenile campaign which got off to a winning start in a Thirsk maiden, the form of which has worked out well with the third Spennithorne winning twice since and defying a mark of 82 in handicap company. That suggests the selection is well treated here off a mark of 76 and we know she handles soft ground as she was beaten just a length into third in a Goodwood nursery last August on such a surface.
This is her first run back since finishing midfield in a valuable sales race at the Curragh in September, but she won first-time-out last term and, given her breeding, there is almost certainly better to come now she tackles this sort of trip. That her stable is firing on all cylinders and can boast a 26% strike rate at this track with all runners yielding a £8.33 profit to £1 level-stakes, provides further encouragement for a bet.
Alan King and Willie Twiston-Davies have been combining well of late with a winner at Royal Ascot (Primitivo) followed by another at Windsor on Monday. More success is on the cards this evening as they team up with BURGUILLOS, who is fancied to make short work of his rivals in the 1m maiden (8.00pm).
He’s been put in as favourite and deservedly so after a couple of promising runs starting off with third place on his debut at Newbury (good to soft), before stepping up at Doncaster last time when second (of 13) behind a Sir Michael Stoute-trained winner, with some nice sorts from bigger Flat yards in behind. The form looks decent and is better than anything else on offer in the race, with his experience likely to be the deciding factor in the conditions.
All odds were correct at time of posting.