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Horse Racing Tips of the Day – Wednesday October 17

Our racing expert has three to back at Nottingham this afternoon.

The 1m75y trip of the nursery handicap is going to take some getting in the conditions and this is just the sort of test to bring out the best in Karl Burke’s filly DELECTABLE.

She hasn’t finished closer than fourth in her three outings to date and that was in a five-runner race, but she’s been handicapped accordingly and is surely capable of rating higher than her current mark of 63.

Being the first foal of a sister to 10.5f Group 1 winner Cutlass Bay and 1m4f Group 2 winner Boscobel, she’s certainly bred to very decent over middle distances and, with stamina at a premium here, she will be finishing better than anything. She’s an each-way price too. UPDATE – the selection is friendless in the market – out to 33/1 from 14/1 – and stakes should be kept small.

Roger Varian’s ELASIA could only go up 2lb for winning by a neck at Goodwood in September and that’s unlikely to stop her following up in this afternoon’s 1m6f handicap for fillies.

The winner of a pair of 1m4f novice events on the all-weather before meeting with defeat on her handicap debut over this trip at Newmarket, where she was outdone by a lack of pace, she got back on track in a more truly run race on slower ground, giving the impression there was more in the locker.

In which case, I’ll be surprised if she can’t rate a good deal higher than her current 93 and today’s race, which is a step down in grade against more exposed sorts, looks an ideal opportunity for her to continue her progress.

I’m prepared to give CONTANGO another chance in the 1m2f handicap after a couple of disappointing efforts as he’s dangerously handicapped on a mark of 85 and connections are reaching for a first-time visor. That might be just what he needs to put his best foot forward, although to be fair he was stuck out the back in bottomless ground at Ayr last time and the run is best ignored.

The winner of back-to-back races in the summer of 2017 before a close up second in the Shergar Cup Classic off a 7lb higher mark than today’s, he’s certainly weighted to come good again this autumn when he gets the cut in the ground he needs.

Hopefully it will be today as Andrew Balding’s gelding is a nice price and we don’t have to much on – each-way if you like with four places up for grabs – to find out.

SELECTIONS

Nottingham 3.05, Delectable each-way @ 33/1 BetVictor (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4)
Nottingham 3.35, Contango @ each-way @ 11/1 Betfair (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4)
Nottingham 4.05, Elasia @ 9/4 bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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