Our in-form resident tipster is hoping to give the betting bank a midweek boost with this trio of runners.
The flat season is coming to a close and time is running out for the turf performers to get a final win on the board.
I’m convinced that the Luca Cumani-trained AL has another race in him off his current mark and he get gets the chance to prove in the 1m6f handicap at Nottingham this afternoon, in which he faces 11 rivals.
The three-year-old first came to my attention back in June when I strongly fancied him to win a Windsor handicap, only to see him finished second as 9/4 favourite. In hindsight he probably found the 1m3f trip on the short side as he’s bred to stay further and he made no mistake on his next start at Newmarket over 1m4f, making a mockery of his 70 rating to win by seven lengths.
Winning by that far was not such a good idea as far as his handicap mark was concerned and he was running off 82 when next seen out in the 1m6f Melrose Handicap at the York Ebor meeting. I still fancied him – I wasn’t alone as he was a Pricewise selection – and it was desperately disappointing to see him finish only seventh (of 18), having pulled far too hard for his own good and not getting the run of the race.
Given a break since and back in class 4 company off the same mark, he is given another chance to show us what I believe he is capable off at this trip.
The end of the flat turf season may be nigh, but the all-weather racing is non-stop and, while I prefer the jumps any day, I will be keeping one eye on proceedings in the coming months with a view to keeping the winners flowing, hopefully. There is a double dose of sand action today and Chelmsford stages a cracking £50,000 handicap over 1m2f (3.00pm), with 15 set to go to post.
Not many of them can be easily dismissed, but I’m leaning towards the Charlie Fellowes-trained THIS IS THE DAY. She has spent most of this season running in Listed company and earned some all-important black type when finishing third at Nottingham and fourth behind the top class Covert Love at Newcastle. Dropped back into handicap company last time, she regained the winning thread and, while she’s been raised to a mark of 99 as a result, her up-and-coming trainer believes there is still some scope for further improvement.
From from a good draw in stall four, she looks certain to run a big race and hopefully run into a place, although I greatly respect the Saeed Bin Suroor-trained Khusoosy, who is also well berthed in five and has won two of his last three starts in the style of a potential Listed performer. A reverse exacta on the pair could pay dividends and provides some insurance.
Staying with the all-weather, I like the look of INVINCIBLE WISH in the opening 1m2f handicap at Kempton (4.55pm). Having gone close at Chepstow previously, he did well to go down by just over a length at Wolverhampton last time, having been held up in a steadily run race dominated by horses ridden prominently. He should be able to win a race of this nature off his current mark and with Rob Hornby taking a handy 5lb off his back, it could well be today, though an each-way bet is advised at the forecast odds.
Nottingham 2.50, Al @ 9/4 Ladbrokes
Chelmsford 3.00, This Is The Day each-way @ 14/1 Betfair
Chelmsford 3.00, This Is The Day / Khusoosy reverse exacta
Kempton 4.55, Invincible Wish each-way @ 14/1 bet365