Jeremy Corbyn now 4/9 to replace Ed Miliband after Labour poll suggests left-wing candidate is racing ahead
The 2015 General Election taught us that polls should be treated cautiously in modern-day politics, although it would appear that Jeremy Corbyn has a strong chance of becoming the next Labour Party leader.
Few outside of Islington had heard of Corbyn before the veteran MP threw his hat into the leadership ring at the last minute, although his left-wing ideology has gained mass appeal and a landslide first-round victory appears to be on the cards.
Bet365 offer 4/9 that the Islington member of parliament becomes the next Labour leader, with YouGov suggesting that Corbyn is going to land 53% of the first round vote, leaving Andy Burnham, Yvette Cooper and Liz Kendall in his wake.
A bet365 spokesman told us: “The YouGov poll has been wrong before but it appears that Corbyn’s brand of politics stands out against the other candidates in the Labour leader race”.
It would appear that Kendall is lagging badly behind in terms of popular support, although Burnham has been the long-time favourite in this market before the latest poll figures suggest he has a lot of ground to make up.
There are plenty of Labour members who are still undecided approaching the big vote and several senior figures such as Alastair Campbell who have warned against the perils of voting in Corbyn.
Many regard him as a throwback figure who is living in the past, although his politics are certainly relevant to those Labour Party members who have seen too much spin and hot air dominate proceedings since Tony Blair became leader.
Campbell was the PR man for Blair during the New Labour years and he has fiercely opposed the election of Corbyn in a blog post.
“Whatever the niceness and the current warm glow, Corbyn will be a leader of the hard left, for the hard left, and espousing both general politics and specific positions that the public just are not going to accept in many of the seats that Labour is going to have to win to get back in power,” Campbell writes.
“Whilst I accept that I cannot survey the post-electoral scene and say with any certainty that a Labour party led by Andy Burnham, Yvette Cooper or Liz Kendall will win the next election,” he says, “I think I can say with absolute certainty that a Corbyn-Tom Watson led Labour party will not.
“For that reason alone, I agree with Alan Johnson that what he called the madness of flirting with the idea of Corbyn as leader has to stop. That means no first preferences, no second preferences, no any preferences. It frankly means ABC: Anyone But Corbyn.”