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Newmarket Friday tips – best bets for the ITV3 races

Our racing expert has previewed the ITV3-televised action from HQ.

1:50 7f (July) bet365 Handicap (Silver Bunbury Cup) (Class 2) (3yo+)
War Glory was backed to end a long losing run last time only to let his backers down and he is now 0-17 and 0-12 on turf. He will probably find an opening before long and does have the services of Ryan Moore, but others make more appeal and SALUTI will be carrying my cash at Paddy Power’s 9/2. Amanda Perrett’s four-year-old was a close fourth over course and distance last time, when bidding for a hat-trick after wins on the Rowley Mile and Haydock, and runs off the same mark here, with the application of first-time cheekpieces likely to eek out a bit more improvement.

2:25 6f (July) Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By bet365) (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo)
This is virtually a rerun of the Albany Stakes as the winner Main Edition is being taken on by the second, fourth, fifth and seventh from that Royal Ascot race, which is proving the definitive guide to this Group 2, providing eight of the last 14 winners. The last filly to do the double was Illuminate in 2015 and Main Edition is favourite to follow suit, but she only had a neck to spare over Le Pelosa and that horse might be able to turn the tables as she is a scopey sort who will keep on improving.

However, the Albany fifth PRETTY POLLYANA is also entitled to finish closer as she did best of those that tried to close from the rear and was finishing as well as anything. She is going to stay a mile in time but is not short of speed and her homework since has been impressive according to gallop watchers. At 11/1 with bet365, she looks fair each-way value.

3:00 1m2f (July) bet365 Handicap (Class 2) (3yo 0-105)
Wissahickon impressed with his attitude when making a successful handicap debut at York last time and, given he still looked a bit raw in the finish, he might be able to defy a 7lb rise and confirm running with the runner-up Beringer.

But he’s been well found by the market, with no bigger than 11/4 on offer at the time of writing, and it might be worth giving one last chance to COMMUNIQUE, who could only finish fifth in the York race. That was the second time he has failed to run up to his best, having finished down the field when fancied for the King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot previously. However, he has been going off far too hard and was an impressive winner of the London Gold Cup in May when ridden with a bit more restraint by today’s rider Silvestre De Sousa. He struck me that day as a horse to win more big handicaps and his trainer Mark Johnston likes to target this race, winning four of the last five renewals, including with others who had disappointed on their latest start. So I’m more than happy to take Paddy Power’s 14/1.

3:35 1m (July) Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Backing odds-on chances at this meeting is a recipe for disaster but only the brave or foolish will be opposing ALPHA CENTAURI after her devastating performance in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot. A convincing winner of the Irish 1000 Guineas on her previous start, it’s clear that Jessica Harrington’s charge is head and shoulders above the rest of the three-year-old fillies’ mile division and she should again take care of the Ascot second and fifth, Threading and Clemmie, who might fill the minor placings in that order.

SELECTIONS

Newmarket 1.50, Saluti @ 9/2 Paddy Power
Newmarket 2.25, Pretty Pollyana each-way @ 11/1 bet365 (1/4 odds, 1.2.3)
Newmarket 3.00, Communique each-way @ 141 Paddy Power (1/5 odds, 1.2.3)
Newmarket 3.35, Alpha Centauri @ 1/2 bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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