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Newmarket Friday tips – best bets for the ITV4 races

Our racing expert gives his verdict on the televised action.

1:50 1m (Row) Muhaarar British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+)
This looks a good opportunity for Hugo Palmer’s UNFORGETABLE FILLY to back up her success at Haydock last month, when spread-eagling the field by eight lengths or more. That looked a decent contest beforehand and the fourth Agrotera, who re-opposes on slightly better terms, has since finished a head second in a French Listed contest to boost the form. With a Group 2 success (last year’s German 1,000 Guineas) already her belt and some very respectable course form to her name, most notably a narrow second in last year’s Group 3 Nell Gwyn, she is taken to shrug off her penalty against some largely out-of-form rivals.

They include John Gosden’s Laugh Aloud, the winner in 2016, and she would have every chance on her best form, but her two efforts this season, including a laboured fifth at Doncaster 14 days ago, are far less compelling.

2:25 1m4f (Row) Princess Royal Nayef Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Likely favourite Star Rock is 2-2 on the Rowley Mile and while his successes came in a maiden and a handicap (both over today’s trip), he’s shown himself to be a force at this level with a couple of close seconds in Group 2s on his last two starts. But all three of his career wins have come on ground with some cut in it and, following another drying day on Thursday and with no rain forecast, conditions may be a tad quicker than he likes.

Besides he might struggle to give 7lb to David Simcock’s three-year-old filly MRS SIPPY, who arrives here on the back of a French Listed success and may have more to offer after just six starts. Her previous form also reads well as she finished just two lengths behind Sea Of Class at Newbury in June and wasn’t beaten far into fourth behind Horseplay in a Group 2 at Haydock the following month. The chances are she’s improved since then and in which case she can bag a deserved Group 3 success before a crack at next month’s Group 1 Fillies & Mares, for which she’s a 40/1 shot with bet365.

3:00 7f (Row) Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo)
Main Edition didn’t last home over this trip last time, fading into fifth (two places ahead of the re-opposing Just Wonderful) after being ridden positively, albeit that was a competitive Group 1 and she had won over this trip on the July Course previously. She might be able to bounce back here, although given she has so much natural speed I’m inclined to think that YOURTIMEISNOW might prove the stronger of the pair at the finish.

Roger Varian’s filly is not short of speed either as she showed when winning over 6f at Newbury (made all) and when upped in class at Salisbury last time, gamely holding off the runner up after again making most. This is a further step up but she’s clearly on an upward curve and her pedigree gives every encouragement she will be even better over this extra furlong.

3:35 1m (Row) Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Accidental Agent was a surprise winner of the Group 1 Lockinge before disappointing in another Group 1 at Deauville and his penalty for that success makes life more difficult for him here. Zabeel Prince has been off since picking up an injury in the Lockinge and probably wants more cut to be seen at his best, so the pair of Sir Michael Stoute-trained runners may well fight out the finish. Mustashry did well to win a Group 3 over 7f last time having got outpaced as he’s more of a miler and an improving one at that.

However, his stablemate REGAL REALITY, the mount of Ryan Moore, is getting weight from all as the sole three-year-old in the line up and he looked very exciting when landing a Group 3 at Goodwood two starts back. He found the heavy ground all against him at Haydock last time, albeit he still managed third, and has to be given another chance on today’s sounder surface. Depending on how he gets on, he could take his chance in next month’s Queen Elizabeth II Stakes and he won’t look out of place in that Group 1 contest.

SELECTIONS

Newmarket 1.50, Unforgetable Filly @ 11/4 Hills
Newmarket 2.25, Mrs Sippy @ 7/2 bet365
Newmarket 3.00, Yourtimeisnow @ 9/2 Ladbrokes
Newmarket 3.35, Regal Reality @ 3/1 Hills

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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