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Newmarket Thursday tips – best bets for the ITV3 races

Our racing expert has previewed the televised action from Newmarket.

1:50 1m5f (July) Bahrain Trophy Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo)
Giuseppe Garibaldi has the proven form at this level having finished runner-up in a Group 2 at the Curragh last time and third in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot prior to that, well ahead of the re-opposing WELLS FARHH GO in sixth. The latter horse could finish a lot closer, though, as he was unsuited by the steady gallop on that occasion and this contest, which is over an extra furlong and promises to be more of a stamina test, should suit him. A smart juvenile who always looked like he would make up into a better three-year-old, he’s a value price to lay down a serious marker for the St Leger. John Gosden’s improving handicapper First Eleven might give him most to do.

2:25 6f (July) Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (2yo)
Advertise built on his highly promising debut win when finished second (of 23) behind Calyx in the Coventry Stakes, winning the race on the far side from his low draw. He’s entitled to favouritism but he is going to be suited by another furlong and bookmakers are hardly giving him away at just 6/4 besides. Calyx’s trainer John Gosden runs Legends Of War, an impressive winner on his Yarmouth debut, and it would be no surprise if he was up to this level. However, I’d rather have a few quid each-way on Newmarket winner KONCHEK at a double-digit price – bet365 go 12/1 and one quarter the odds – as he has looked to be crying out for 6f on his two most recent starts, including when a close up fifth in the Norfolk Stakes, a race in which three winners finished 353 since 2003.

3:00 6f (July) bet365 Handicap (Class 2) (3yo 0-105)
A fiercely competitive sprint with the draw and pace sure to come into play, but they are not easy to predict at the best of times and it could pay to just side with the bang-in-form BURIDAN. The son of Choisir has always been highly regarded by the Hannon team and has now won three of his five starts, including once over this course and distance in June. He’s since followed up at Haydock, where he made all for a comfortable success, and he’s 4lb well in here under a 6lb penalty. That’s not going to stop him if he can continue his progress, which seems likely given he’s had just five starts, and we can also take plenty of encouragement from his trainer, who was sounding hopeful in a Stable Tour this week that he could develop into a Listed performer. At 10/1 with Boylesports, he’ll do for me.

3:35 1m4f (July) Princess Of Wales’s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Mirage Dancer was well backed for the Listed Wolferton Stakes (1m2f) last time on the back of an easy success at Goodwood (1m4f), but he failed to land a blow and came home in fifth. He might have finished closer if his rider hadn’t met with trouble and the step back up in trip is in his favour, but that can also be said of LARAAIB, who finished further behind in ninth. Owen Burrows’ charge is much better than that and he must have a massive chance on his previous second in the Brigadier Gerard behind Poet’s Word on his reappearance. That he was able to put it up to such a high-class performer having been off the track since losing his unbeaten record in last season’s Rose Of Lancaster speaks volumes for this talent, and 1m4f on fast ground is what he needs to show his best. It’s no great surprise that Jim Crowley has chosen him over Muntahaa, who is no mug by any means, and that helps to clinch the bet at Boylesports’ 7/1.

SELECTIONS

Newmarket 1.50, Wells Farhh Go @ 15/2 Betfair
Newmarket 2.25, Konchek each-way @ 12/1 bet365 (1/4 odds, 1.2.3)
Newmarket 3.00, Buridan @ 10/1 Boylesports
Newmarket 3.35, Laraaib @ 7/1 Boylesports

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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