What are the best bets at Newmarket on Friday?
The Channel 4 cameras are at Newmarket on Friday for day one of the Future Champions Festival, as well as taking in two races from York, and our resident tipster has run the rule over each of the seven televised races.
1.35 Newmarket: Dubai Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3), 5f
Any point in opposing likely odds-on favourite QUIET REFLECTION? I think not as she was most impressive when beating the re-opposing Field Of Vision in a Listed even at Ayr last time, having run well in in the Group 2 Lowther Stakes previously, and she has the scope to go to the very top of the sprinting tree. Besides, there are better betting opportunities to come.
2.05 Newmarket: Vision Oh So Sharp Stakes (Fillies’ Group 3), 7f
While I’d expect Charlie Hills’ Gypsy Eyes to run far better than at Doncaster last time in a first-time hood, this is a hot Group 3 and it could pay to concentrate on the three once-raced maiden winners. Of these I just prefer the Saeed Bin Suroor-trained FIRST VICTORY, who is a half-sister to Group 2 winner and 1,000 Guineas runner-up Ihtimal. She’s clearly inherited plenty of ability judging on her smooth debut effort over this course and distance and she was value for more than her half-length margin of victory, with her jockey James Doyle reporting that she wasn’t “doing a tap in front”. She’ll have improved both physically and mentally for that experience and can keep her unbeaten record intact. Hills go a standout 4/1.
2.20 York: Stan James Bet On Your Mobile Handicap, 1m110yds
This looks tough, but it could be worth taking a chance on GABRIEL’S KAKA bouncing back to form at double-figure odds (11/1 Hills). Richard Fahey’s charge raced on the wrong side of the track when finishing midfield in the Cambridgeshire last time and can be excused a poor previous run when favourite at Ayr as he stumbled badly after three furlongs and never properly recovered. Prior to that he was inconvenienced by having to race near the centre of the track, thereby forfeiting ground, when third at Chester. At least his long losing run has helped his mark as he’s now down to 86, which is 17lb lower than his peak rating, and he could well take advantage here with conditions in his favour.
2.40 Newmarket: Dubai Challenge Stakes (Group 2), 7f
Another wide open contest with only one of the ten runners, the out of form Glory Awaits, looking up against it. Last year’s first three – Here Comes When, Cable Bay and Breton Rock – should all be on the premises again, but it could be worth siding with the three-year-old MARKAZ (11/2 Hills). He has the beating of those horses at today’s weights on his run in the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes two starts back, and he stepped up on that effort when chasing home Limato at Haydock last time. A winner of a Group 3 over course and distance earlier in the season, he could be up to winning at this level for his in-form stable.
3.10 Newmarket: Dubai Fillies’ Mile (Group 1), 1m
This looks a cracking renewal of this Group 1 and the winner looks sure to go into the winter as favourite for next year’s fillies’ Classics. The form horse looks to be Aidan O’Brien’s Minding, whose victory in the Moyglare Stud Stakes last time out was boosted by wins for the second and third, Ballydoyle and Alice Springs, last weekend. She’s a deserving favourite at around the 7/4 mark, but she faces stiff opposition from stablemate Coolmore, Godolphin’s PROMISING RUN and the John Gosden-trained Nathra, who has won both her starts. It’s a close call but I’m just favouring Bin Suroor’s charge at the respective odds as she’s now win twice at this venue and clocked a fast time when landing the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes last time. Her stable has a terrific record in this race too, so the 6/1 on offer at Coral looks worth taking.
3.25 York: Stan James Handicap, 1m6f
This looks a trappy handicap and I can’t say I’m that keen to get involved. The Richard Hannon-trained WHO DARES WINS (5/1 Hills) was bought to go hurdling with Alan King, but he has been making hay on the flat and was completing a hat-trick at Sandown when last seen out in July, with all his wins coming under today’s pilot Tom Marquand. I’m a big fan of the jockey, who still claims 3lb, and he may be able to conjure another victory out of the three-year-old, with his stable in great form.
3.45 Newmarket: Vision Old Rowley Cup (Heritage Handicap), 1m4f
There are plenty of progressive three-year-olds to choose from here and it was the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Mustard that made immediate appeal. He gained a deserved success when trying this trip for the first time at Haydock nine weeks ago and judging by the latest gallop reports, he has thrived since. My concern is that his stable is not firing on all cylinders with several shortish-priced losers in the last fortnight – since an across-the-card double on September 25, there have been nine losing favourites. In which case I’m going to give another chance to Luca Cumani’s AL at the available 16/1 with Paddy Power. He was disappointing at York last time when fancied, but took far too keen a hold and things never quite panned out for him. Prior to that he’d looked seriously progressive when winning on the July Course here and is closely related to some good stayers. What’s more he will have the services of the champion jockey-elect Silvestre De Sousa.
Fancy some free bets? Back a winner at 4/1 or bigger in any of the above Channel 4-televised races and bet365 will give you a free bet to the same stake on the next race shown live on Channel 4. If that also wins at 4/1 or bigger, get another free bet and so on.