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Rugby World Cup 2015 quarter-final tips – Springboks set for narrow Wales win


Wales will provide Springboks with sterner test than Scots, so back a converted try's difference at tasty 10/3 top-price with Paddy Power as winning margin.

Although Wales managed to edge South Africa when these two powerhouses of rugby union last met, that was one of only two wins in history they have recorded over the Springboks.

Warren Gatland’s injury crisis shows no sign of abating ahead of playing the winners of Rugby World Cup Pool B at Twickenham, where he also saw his team lose to Australia in their own group decider last time out.

Wonderful Wallabies defending when two men light was what denied Wales the win that would’ve seen them avoid South Africa, but fabulous fly half Bernard Foley once again proved a scourge.

All but three of the 30 meetings between Wales and the Springboks have gone the way of the Southern Hemisphere heavyweights, so it’s little wonder they are odds-on across the board to defeat them again. Sky Bet offer the best price on South Africa in 80 minutes at 4/11.

Gatland’s game-plan of staunch defending to force ill-discipline from the opposition may have worked so far, but these Springboks players, including in-form wide duo Bryan Habana and JP Pietersen who have nine tries between them at this Rugby World Cup, are real physical specimens.

Betfair quote the most attractive price on Wales, but they are deserved 29/10 outsiders despite scrum half Gareth Davies matching Pietsen with four crossings during the pool stage.

Five of the last seven South African wins have come by narrow margins of within a converted try, and that makes the 1-7 points bracket at a tasty top-price 10/3 with Paddy Power very appealing indeed.

Ireland apart, and battle-hardened by a siege mentality despite those on the treatment table, Wales have given by far the best account of any British Isles nation on display at this Rugby World Cup, but a repeat of the 12-6 victory from last autumn just isn’t likely with how many they have out.

BETTING TIP: South Africa beat Wales by a margin of 1-7 points @ 10/3 with Paddy Power.

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