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Rugby World Cup 2015 semis: New Zealand can beat Springboks with something to spare

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New Zealand cannot be denied by Springboks with sensational Savea in devastating form, so be bold and back All Blacks win with 14-point handicap at Betfred.

Tournament favourites New Zealand have scored 10 more tries than semi-final foes South Africa at this Rugby World Cup, and it’s this superior ability to drive for the line that should prove decisive when these heavyweights meet at Twickenham.

The All Blacks, odds-on to defend their title, also hold a short top price of 4/13 with 888Sport for victory in 80 minutes over Betway’s best-odds 7/2 outsiders the Springboks.

Having won six of the last seven head-to-heads, New Zealand are also a better wager at 4/5 in the half-time/full-time market at bet365.

Returning to that rampant tryscoring, All Blacks winger Julian Savea has eight at the tournament, dwarfing South African counterpart Bryan Habana’s contribution by three. That includes two hat-tricks, one of which came in frighteningly powerful fashion against France last time out.

Add in the threat Nehe Milner-Skudder posed down New Zealand’s other side, and the Springboks have two real handfuls to try and deal with here.

Although Habana is joined by JP Pietersen in giving the All Blacks something to think about, South Africa struggled to break down that resolute Wales defence in their quarter-final victory.

New Zealand’s win over France could hardly have been more impressive and different to the Springboks sneaking by Warren Gatland’s walking wounded. They do look two tries better than South Africa, and that may be a conservative estimate.

Dan Carter has been hugely impressive with his kicking, so conversions are assured and that makes an All Blacks winning margin of 13 points or more well worth investing in at top odds of 13/8 with Ladbrokes.

The bet on New Zealand which appeals most, though, is found in the handicap market. Give them a 14-point deficit to overturn, just two converted tries for Savea, Milner-Skudder and Carter to put together, and Betfred offer a brilliant best bet of 2/1.

Covering a handicap of that amount is something the All Blacks have achieved in three of their last six victories, so there is every chance they can do so again.

BETTING TIP: New Zealand win with -14 handicap @ 2/1 with Betfred.

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