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Rugby World Cup tips – Japan to come up short against Scotland

Rugby Union - South Africa v Japan - IRB Rugby World Cup 2015 Pool B - Brighton Community Stadium, Brighton, England - 19/9/15
 Japan celebrate victory after the match
 Reuters / Eddie Keogh

Repeating shock victory over Springboks in Rugby World Cup opener is huge ask for Japan, so back Scotland for 11-20 points win at 13/5 with Paddy Power.

Japan were a winless side in 18 Rugby World Cup games, the longest run in history. They were considered no-hopers, not given a prayer by anyone and they went and beat the mighty South Africa with a last minute try.

Rugby World Cup stories do not get better than that, or do they? The Japanese now look serious contenders for the top two spots in Pool B, so much so that they have shortened to 5/1 with Coral to qualify for the quarter-finals.

They face Scotland next, on the crest of a wave and priced at 6/1 with Sky Bet to make it a famous pair of wins against the two most-fancied teams in the group.

That win over the Springboks propelled the Asian side above the Scots in the world rankings, and many will believe that they have a genuine chance of turning over Vern Cotter’s men in Gloucester.

Six Nations wooden spoons Scotland are still firm odds-on 1/6 favourites with Betfred to win this game; their first Rugby World Cup outing. That is hardly unsurprising, considering they have only ever lost to their opponents here when fielding a severely under-strength side back in 1989.

In fact, the Scots have racked-up 142 points in their last two meetings with the Cherry Blossoms, so anything other than a victory could warrant full on disaster with the likes of a wounded South Africa and the physical Samoans to come.

Eddie Jones’ side will be exhausted from the drama that surrounded that famous win in their opener and that makes taking Scotland on the handicap at -16 at a price of evens with Boylesports a very wise choice. The 11-20 points margin of victory market, meanwhile, is a more rewarding top price of 13/5 with Paddy Power.

It is highly likely that Japan will start strong, with the adrenaline still flowing after their incredible win, but they will surely tire in the second period and 8/1 for Japan to be leading at half-time but Scotland to emerge victors with BetVictor might prove a little hefty.

Stuart Hogg and is arguably Scotland’s most exciting player, and the full-back is priced at 8/1 to cross the whitewash first.

Those fancying Japan to continue where they left off will be drawn in by 20/1 with Ladbrokes about Springboks match winner Karne Hesketh grabbing the first try of this contest.

BETTING TIP: Scotland win by 11-20 points @ 13/5 with Paddy Power.

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