Saints Odds Steady Despite Drew Brees’ Impending Surgery
Before the season started, the Saints were +1000 to win the 2019-2020 championship. However, New Orleans appeared to be dealt a significant loss in Week 2 as their franchise quarterback, Drew Brees, suffered a severe thumb injury to his throwing hand.
According to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero, Brees needs surgery on his thumb due to torn ligaments and is expected to miss six to eight weeks, at minimum.
My understanding is 6-to-8 weeks is the minimum #Saints QB Drew Brees will miss because of the ligament damage in his thumb. All depends on the type of surgery he ends up having. That raises the possibility of placing him on IR, which would sideline him at least 8 weeks.— Tom Pelissero (@TomPelissero) September 16, 2019
The Saints will turn to veteran quarterback Teddy Bridgewater with Brees out. Luckily for New Orleans, Bridgewater is widely considered one of the best backup passers in the NFL.
Oddsmakers Not Impressed by Saints Divisional Competition
Multiple sportsbooks have the Saints' odds to win the Super Bowl between +900 to +1000, which is about what they were entering the season.
Some sites have moved down their futures odds to win the NFC from +400 to +500, but that change could be due to their loss to the Rams in Week 2 more so than the injury to Brees.
Part of the reason the odds likely haven't changed significantly despite the Brees news is that the rest of the NFC South doesn't look particularly strong this season.
The Panthers have lost two straight home games, and the Falcons and Buccaneers have yet to impress oddsmakers. As long as Bridgewater can keep the Saints around .500, they should be in contention to win the division and host a home playoff game in January.
And if the Saints can make the playoffs and Brees is healthy, New Orleans has to be considered one of the favorites to make it out of the NFC.
Where there has been some change is with the NFC South division odds as some books have pulled the odds off the board, for now. Those odds will likely be put back on the board once we know precisely how long Brees is out.
Brees' Exact Timetable Still Undecided
There is a chance that Brees could be placed on the injured reserve list, meaning that he would miss at least eight games. But there is some optimism that he will be ready before that and could avoid being placed on injured reserve.
The odds for the Saints this season are going to be extremely fluid over the next few weeks. It's going to be fascinating how oddsmakers view the difference between Brees and Bridgewater, especially on the road.
But as of now, the Saints continue to be one of the top two or three teams in the NFC most likely to win the Super Bowl, even with their leader scheduled to miss the next two months.