Tim Easterby has won the Super Sprint three times and his Excessable looks a worthy favourite for Saturday's renewal.
With the weights for Saturday’s Weatherby’s Super Sprint determined by sales price, so you are ideally looking for a relatively cheap horse who now looks a bargain after showing some smart form.
As fillies tend to be cheaper and get a sex allowance, they’ve done particularly well down the years – they’ve won 14 of the last 23 renewals – and their best representative this time may be Great Page. A Listed winner, she had excuses when beaten in a Irish Group 3 last time and her only defeat before that came behind stablemate Illuminate, who is one of the stars of the juvenile season. Her trainer Richard Hannon won this race 12 months ago with Tiggy Wiggy, continuing the good work of his father, who used to farm this race, and it will take a good one to beat her.
I’d normally stop there and 5/1 about her chances seems fair, but is there a runner with the potential to be a good deal better in the shape of Tim Easterby’s EXCESSABLE. He’s a colt but was a reasonably cheap purchase and as a result he is saddled with just 8st 3lb. A tidy winner at Ripon in April, he was just touched off at Beverley last time by Lydia’s Place (getting 13lb), who franked the form when winning a York nursery on Friday despite a slipping saddle.
Easterby, whose horses continue in great form, has shown a knack for finding the right horse for this race, winning it three times, most recently with Body And Soul three years ago, and he’s likely aimed Excessable at this race since his impressive debut win at Ripon. He’s certainly got the speed for what is a helter-skelter contest and his draw in stall four shouldn’t prove to be a hindrance.
With so much to like, it should not surprise that he is favourite, with 7/2 the best on offer, but this may be one of those occasions where it could pay to stick with the obvious.
As you’d expect, there are plenty of others in with a shout and the main danger to the selection may come from Hawatif. An easy winner of a much weaker contest at Carlisle last time, he represents Mark Johnston, who has been enjoying a golden run with his juveniles this term, and he might be worth a saver at 12/1 (Sky Bet). Belvoir Bay, who showed plenty of speed when winning a lesser race at Windsor, and Clive Cox’s Soapy Aitken are others to consider.
Recommendation: Excessable @ 7/2 Betfair