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Bill Speros for Bookies.com

By Bill Speros | | 45 mins

2022 AFC and NFC Championship Odds Tracker

2022 AFC and NFC Championship Odds Tracker
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With half as many teams to choose from than Super Bowl betting, odds to win the AFC Championship and NFC Championship have grown in handle and number of bets over the years. Winning that final game is tough, so bettors have added conference title futures to their overall NFL betting strategy. Bookies.com has been tracking AFC and NFC odds and continues to do so through the 2021-22 NFL regular season and into the playoffs.

AFC Championship Odds

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +165 +250
Buffalo Bills +230 +500
Tennessee Titans +320 +1300
Cincinnati Bengals +550 +6500

Odds via FanDuel and current as of Jan. 19. Be sure to check out the FanDuel promo code for a risk-free first bet up to $1,000.

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  • Jan. 19: The Chiefs remain the betting favorite to pull a three-peat as AFC champions ahead of their Divisional Round playoff game aginst the Bills this week. That contest is a rematch of last season’s conference title game. Kansas City edged up to +165 this week, while the Bills bounced from +350 to +230 after annihilating the Patriots. The Bengals continue to offer the best value on the board, but have risen to +550. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted after the Wild Card round:

  • Team Divisional Wild Card Trend
    Chiefs+165+175
    Bills+230+350
    Titans+320+310
    Bengals+550+800
    PatriotsELIMINATED+1000
    Raiders ELIMINATED +2200
    Steelers ELIMINATED +3400

  • Jan. 12: The Wild Card round arrives with the Tennessee Titans (+310) enjoying a first-round bye by virtue of their best record in the AFC. But the Chiefs kept their hold on the top spot and saw their odds tighten after they closed out the season with close win over Denver. Buffalo held at +350 but slipped to third overall. The New England Patriots (holding at +750) and the Cincinnati Bengals (+850) fill out the top five. The Bengals are the best choice here when combining value and their legitimate chances to capture this market. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted after Week 18 ahead of the Wild Card round:

  • Team Wild Card Week 18 Trend
    Chiefs+175+210
    Titans+310+450
    Bengals+800+850
    Patriots+1000+850
    Raiders+2200+7000
    Steelers+3400+20000
    ColtsELIMINATED+1000
    ChargersELIMINATED+1800
    RavensELIMINATED+13000

  • Jan. 5: The Chiefs kept their hold on the top spot in this market, despite losing to the Bengals in Week 17. Buffalo held firm at No. 2, edging up to +350. The Titans elevated into the No. 3 spot from +800 to +450 after a convincing win over Miami and a hold on the top seed in the conference. The New England Patriots (holding at +750) and the Cincinnati Bengals (+850) fill out the top five. The Bengals are the best choice here when combining value and their legitimate chances to capture this market. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 17 & 18:

  • Team Week 17 Week 18 Trend
    Chiefs+160+210
    Bills+400+350
    Titans+800+450
    Bengals+1200+850
    Colts+800+1000
    Chargers+2600+1800
    Raiders+7000+4200
    Ravens+2600+13000
    Steelers+15000+20000
    Browns+5000ELIMINATED
    Dolphins+5500ELIMINATED
    Broncos+100000ELIMINATED

  • Dec. 28: The Chiefs won their eighth straight and continued to separate themselves from the field. Buffalo’s win at New England firmly entrenched the Bills as the No. 2 choice, but somehow the struggling Patriots remain third choice on the board. There’s still value to be had on the Colts, but how about those Dolphins? We’re not saying back Miami, but the jump from +12000 to +5500 is eye-popping. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 16 & 17:

  • Team Week 16 Week 17 Trend
    Chiefs+185+160
    Bills+500+400
    Patriots+500+750
    Colts+850+800
    Titans+1100+800
    Bengals+1500+1200
    Ravens+1500+2600
    Chargers+1600+2600
    Browns+4000+5000
    Dolphins+12000+5500
    Raiders+9000+7000
    Steelers+5000+15000
    Broncos+13000+100000

  • Dec. 22: The Chiefs opened significant space between themselves and the rest of the field this week after beating the Raiders. The Patriots fell into a tie with Buffalo for the No. 2 spot at +500. They were +340 before losing to Indianapolis. But there’s plenty of value here, especially with the Colts at +850 and the Ravens at +1500. COVID-19 remains the wildcard in all weekly and futures markets across the league. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 15 & 16:

  • Team Week 15 Week 16 Trend
    Chiefs+260+185
    Patriots+340+500
    Bills+600+500
    Colts+1300+850
    Titans+800+1100
    Bengals+2100+1500
    Ravens+1300+1500
    Chargers+1600+1600-
    Browns+1600+4000
    Steelers+7500+5000
    Raiders+9000+9000-
    Dolphins+15000+12000
    Broncos+5000+13000

  • Dec. 15: The Patriots and Chiefs extended their hold on the front end of this market. The Chiefs rolled past the Raiders for the second time in three weeks, and the Patriots enjoyed the bye. The Bills fell hard, again, this time to their historic nemesis, Tom Brady. The Ravens fell hard from +750 to +1300. The Chargers and Titans continue to attract interest. The Chargers and Chiefs meet in Week 15, so there could be movement with those two teams if the Chargers can net the upset. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 14 & 15:

  • Team Week 14 Week 15 Trend
    Chiefs+300+260
    Patriots+350+340
    Bills+490+600
    Titans+950+800
    Chargers+1000+950
    Colts+1800+1300
    Ravens+750+1300
    Browns+2500+1600
    Bengals+2500+2100
    Broncos+5500+5000
    Steelers+6000+7500
    Dolphins+21000+15000

  • Dec. 8: The AFC has moved back to the future with the Chiefs and Patriots enjoying the top-two spots in this market. Both saw their price tighten this week. The two-time defending AFC champion Chiefs moved from +330 to 300. The Patriots have won 7 straight and are the top-seed in the conference. New England’s price has soared from +5000 in Week 7 to +350 this week. The Patriots beat the Bills 14-10 in Week 13, throwing just three passes in the wintry win. The Bils (+490), Ravens (+750) and Titans (+950) complete the top five. Buffalo is the best value here. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 13 & 14:

  • Team Week 13 Week 14 Trend
    Chiefs+350+300
    Patriots+450+350
    Bills+350+490
    Ravens+550+750
    Chargers+1600+1000
    Bengals+1800+1200
    Colts+2500+1800
    Broncos+4000+5500
    Raiders+5000+5500
    Steelers+10000+6000
    Dolphins+25000+21000

  • Nov. 30: The defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs (+330) grabbed sole possession of the top spot this week, edging ahead of the Buffalo Bills (+350). A minor but surprising move considering the Bills scored an impressive road win in Week 12 at New Orleans and the Chiefs were idle. Alone at No. 3: The New England Patriots at +450. This chart could look different next week as the Bills play host to New England in Week 13. The Bengals make nice leap from +1800 to +1200 and might be worth a small investment. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 12 & 13:

  • Team Week 12 Week 13 Trend
    Chiefs+330+350
    Patriots+600+450
    Ravens+600+550
    Bengals+1800+1200
    Bengals+2200+1800
    Titans+800+1300
    Chargers+900+1600
    Browns+2000+2500
    Colts+1800+2500
    Broncos+6000+4000
    Raiders+6000+5000
    Steelers+6000+10000

  • Nov. 24: The defending AFC champion Kansas City are back into the favorite spot this week, tied with Buffalo +350. A convincing win over Dallas at home put Kansas City back in the shared pole position. Lurking just offshore like a great white shark are the New England Patriots. They have rocketed to +600 here and first place in the AFC East. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 11 & 12:

  • Team Week 11 Week 12 Trend
    Bills+250+350
    Chiefs+500+350
    Patriots+1000+600
    Titans+500+800
    Chargers+1000+900
    Bengals+2200+1800
    Colts+2500+1800
    Steelers+4000+5000
    Raiders+3000+6000
    Dolphins+50000+25000

  • Nov. 16: Oddsmakers remain solidly behind the Bills in this market. Buffalo is the clear favorite and is holding at +250. Kansas City, Tennessee and Baltimore are next. But the biggest surprise this week comes in the form of the New England Patriots, who are now tied for fifth with the Los Angeles Chargers at +1000. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 10 & 11:

  • Team Week 10 Week 11 Trend
    Titans+450+500
    Chiefs+650+500
    Patriots+1600+1000
    Browns+1600+2000
    Colts+3500+2500
    Raiders+2200+3000
    Steelers+2200+4000
    Broncos+4000+6000

  • Nov. 9: Buffalo is still the choice of oddsmakers to win the AFC and reach the Super Bowl, even after an inexplicable 9-6 loss at Jacksonville. A cluster of teams – Baltimore, Kansas City, Tennessee – are clustered in the middle of the top five. The Chargers sit alone at No. 5. But the real takeaway midway through the season is that there is a real race to win this conference with at least a half-dozen teams carrying a real shot to do so – and possibly more to come. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 9 & 10:

  • Team Week 9 Week 10 Trend
    Bills+200+250
    Titans+900+450
    Browns+2500+1600
    Patriots+2500+1600
    Steelers+2500+2200
    Raiders+1800+2200
    Bengals+2000+2200
    Broncos+5000+4000
    Jaguars+50000+100000
    Texans+50000+100000
    Jets+50000+100000

  • Nov. 2: The Bills remain the favorite and have seen the gap between them and the rest of the conference widen. A cluster of teams – Baltimore, Kansas City, Tennessee and Las Vegas, form a tight second core. But those teams have serious issues including key injuries, a new coach and questionable play as of late. The Patriots and Steelers each saw their price cut in half and are now legit playoff contenders and bear watching. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 8 & 9:

  • Team Week 7 Week 8 Trend
    Ravens+600+550
    Chargers+800+1000
    Chiefs+350+650
    Titans+800+900
    Chargers+800+1000
    Raiders+2200+1800
    Bengals+1400+2000
    Browns+1200+2500
    Steelers+5000+2500
    Patriots+5000+2500
    Colts+4000+3500
    Dolphins+25000+50000

  • Oct. 27: The Bills held at No. 1 after taking the week off, while the Ravens replaced the Chiefs in the No. 2 spot. The Chiefs are still very pricey, considering they are in last place in their own division. The Bengals roared from +4500 to +1400 and might be worth a look at that price. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds shifted between Week 7 & 8:

  • Team Week 7 Week 8 Trend
    Bills+250+200
    Ravens+450+600
    Chiefs+350+650
    Titans+1200+800
    Chargers+900+800
    Browns+1000+1200
    Bengals+4500+1400
    Raiders+3500+2200
    Colts+4000+2800
    Steelers+4000+5000
    Dolphins+10000+25000

  • Oct. 19: The top three teams in the AFC held their positions this week. The Chargers and Browns swapped slots, but their numbers barely moved. The Titans make a strong move and are a sneaky value play here. Otherwise, save your money for now. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds to win the conference shifted after Week 6 heading into Week 7:

  • Team Week 6 Week 7 Trend
    Ravens+500+450
    Chargers+800+900
    Browns+750+1000
    Titans+1600+1200
    Raiders+4000+3500
    Broncos+2000+4000
    Steelers+6000+4000
    Bengals+6000+4500
    Patriots+3500+5000
    Dolphins+6000+10000

  • Oct. 12: The Bills rolled into Arrowhead Stadium, stomped Kansas City 38-20 in Week 5, and took over the top betting spot in the AFC for the first time all season. The Bills upped their overall record to 4-1, while the Chiefs fell to 2-3. Buffalo’s price to win the AFC rose from +350 to +250. The Chiefs fell from +300 to +350. Baltimore (+500), Cleveland (+750) and the LA Chargers (+800) round out the top five. Here’s a look at the AFC teams whose odds to win the conference shifted after Week 5 heading into Week 6:

  • Team Week 5 Week 6 Trend
    Bills+350+250
    Chiefs+300+350
    Ravens+600+500
    Browns+600+750
    Chargers+1000+800
    Broncos+1800+2000
    Raiders+2800+4000
    Dolphins+5000+6000
    Steelers+7000+6000

  • Oct. 5: The top four spots in the AFC held after Week 4, as the Chiefs, Ravens and Browns all scored convincing if-not-hard-fought wins on the road and the Bills routed the Texans at home. The value atop the board has evaporated for this point in the season. The Broncos and Raiders both lost in critical Week 4 tests and saw their prices crash. The Ravens edged up to +600 from +650 and remain the best play, along with the Chargers, from a value perspective. Here are the AFC Championship odds that moved ahead of Week 5:

  • Team Week 4 Week 5 Trend
    Bills+400+350
    Ravens+700+650
    Browns+800+600
    Titans+1200+1600
    Broncos+1000+1800
    Raiders+2200+2800
    Dolphins+4000+5000
    Bengals+6500+6000
    Steelers+5000+7000

  • Sept. 28: The Chiefs held the top spot in the AFC despite a 30-24 loss at home to the Chargers and a 1-2 record after Week 3. KC’s price nudged up from +250 to +300. There’s still no value in the Chiefs play, especially considering their play early in the season. Buffalo moved closer to KC, edging up to +400 from +450. The Broncos and Raiders are the only undefeated teams left in the AFC after three weeks, but both saw their price hold at +1000 and +2200, respectively. Multiple brand-name teams, including the Steelers, Patriots and Colts, saw their prices collapse after bad Week 3 losses. Here is a look at the odds moves in the race to win the AFC title ahead of Week 4:

  • Team Week 3 Week 4 Trend
    Chiefs+250+300
    Bills+450+400
    Ravens+650+700
    Chargers+1800+1000
    Titans+1600+1200
    Patriots+1800+3500
    Dolphins+2200+4000
    Steelers+2500+5000
    Colts+4000+5000
    Jaguars+25000+50000
    Jets+25000+50000
    Texans+25000+50000

  • Sept. 21: The Chiefs saw their odds dip slightly from +225 to +250 after they lost for the second time in three games – going back to the Super Bowl – and have given up an average of 32 PPG over that span. KC’s 36-35 loss in Baltimore and the Bills’ 35-0 rout of the host Dolphins impacted these odds. The Raiders and Broncos are the only undefeated teams left in the AFC after two weeks and lead KC and LA in the West. Their odds saw the biggest bump. Here is a look at the biggest odds moves in the race to win the AFC title after Week 2.
  • Sept. 14: A week in which 13 underdogs covered against the spread league-wide and three of the top four teams favored to win the conference lost, rattled AFC title odds. Here is a look at the odds to win the AFC title before and after Week 1 of the 2021 NFL season:
  • Aug. 31: Patriots cut Cam Newton in a surprise move, elevating rookie QB Mac Jones to starter; odds remain at +1800.
  • Aug. 28: Baltimore Ravens lose starting RB J.K. Dobbins to season-ending injury but remain steady at +600 to win the AFC.
  • Aug. 25: The Patriots' odds remain unchanged after the team agrees to send running back Sony Michel to the LA Rams for late round draft pick compensation. New England will likely move forward with Damien Harris and James White at RB.
  • Aug. 2: The Broncos, at one time as high as +4000 to win the AFC and as low as +700, have their NFL futures odds settle at +2000 to win the conference, as it appears they’ll settle with Drew Lock or Teddy Bridgewater at QB.
  • June 7: The Titans’ odds shrink dramatically – from +1700 to +900 – after the team trades for All-Pro WR Julio Jones. The odds slowly rise back to +1500 by Aug. 1.
  • May 3: Denver’s odds to win the AFC Championship plummeted from +3800 to +700 after trade rumors connecting the Broncos with disgruntled Packers QB Aaron Rodgers surfaced at the NFL draft.
  • April 23: The Browns’ odds drop from +1200 down to +800 after signing pass rushing DE Jadeveon Clowney.
  • March 14: The Patriots add TEs Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith, and WR Nelson Agholor, in a busy free agency week. Over the next 10 days, their AFC title odds drop from +2000 to +1600.
  • Feb. 22: The Colts find their replacement for the retiring Philip Rivers, trading for Eagles starting QB Carson Wentz. Their AFC title odds dip slightly to +1200.
  • Feb. 7: The Chiefs, two-time defending AFC champions, open as strong +250 favorites to win a third-straight conference crown.
2022 AFC and NFC Championship Odds Tracker 1

The Buffalo Bills want to get back to the Super Bowl for the first time since the Jim Kelly era. Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens want another crack at the big game. Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns feel like their time is now. However, for all three legit AFC championship contenders, the road to the Super Bowl goes through Kansas City.

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs won the AFC title in 2020 en route to the franchise’s first Super Bowl title in 50 years. They repeated in the AFC in 2021, only to be thwarted by Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55.

Mahomes and the Chiefs opened as prohibitive favorites at betting sites to represent the AFC in Super Bowl 2022 odds. The Bills, Ravens and Browns each aim to be the team to drop the reigning champions, while the defense-strong Broncos and offense-strong Titans have reason to believe they should be included in the conversation.

AFC Conference Trends

Home Advantage Matters: In both the AFC and NFC championship games, home-field advantage has proven advantageous. But it’s been really true on this side of the standings. Home teams have won seven of the last eight AFC title games, and 13 of the last 15.

Offense Wins Championships: The winning team in the AFC Championship has scored at least 35 points in five of the last seven title games. Of course, the winning team in all five instances had either Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes II running the show.

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NFC Championship Odds

TeamCurrent OddsPreseason Odds
Green Bay Packers +155 +550
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +230 +300
LA Rams +350 +650
San Francisco 49ers +500 +700

Odds via DraftKings and current as of Jan. 19. Be sure to check out the DraftKings promo code for all the latest promotions.

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Here are some notes on the NFC Championship odds movement:

  • Jan. 19: The top-seed Packers remain the top choice in this market heading into their playoff opener against the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers are No. 6 seed in the NFC. The Buccaneers play host to the LA Rams in the other NFC playoff game this weekend. All four remaining teams saw their prices rise after the Wild Card round. Here’s a look at the teams whose odds shifted heading into this week:
  • Team Divisional Wild Card Trend
    Packers+155+160
    Buccaneers+230+350
    Rams+350+450
    49ers+500+1000
    CowboysELIMINATED+600
    CardinalsELIMINATED+1200
    EaglesELIMINATED+2200

  • Jan. 13: The Packers will remain the top choice until they either win the conference or get upset along the way. The Buccaneers grabbed the No. 2 spot and finished with the same record as the Packers. The 49ers clinched their spot and beat the Rams in Week 18, allowing the Bucs to edge up into that second spot. The Cowboys, who get the 49ers at home this weekend, are the best value play here, especially given their price. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 18 to the Wild Card round:
  • Team Wild Card Week 18 Trend
    Packers+160+175
    Buccaneers+350+450
    Rams+450+400
    Cowboys+600+550
    49ers+1000+1800
    Cardinals+1200+1000
    Eagles+3000+2200

  • Jan. 5: The Packers will remain the top choice until they either win the conference or get upset along the way. The Rams overtook the Buccaneers, given the probability of the Rams remaining ahead of the Buccaneers in NFC seeding. The Rams beat the Bucs at SoFi Stadium in Week 3 this season. Value remains scarce. It’s time for the true believers in Arizona to take the plunge. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 17 to Week 18:
  • Team Week 17 Week 18 Trend
    Packers+200+175
    Rams+450+400
    Buccaneers+350+450
    Cowboys+500+550
    Eagles+3500+2200
    Vikings+8000ELIMINATED
    Washington FT+50000ELIMINATED
    Falcons+50000ELIMINATED

  • Dec. 28: The Packers hold firm as the top choice and the Buccaneers slip slightly as both the Cowboys and Rams surge. There is still plenty of football left to play, but value is becoming harder and harder to find. Dallas is certainly surging and is tempting at +500. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 16 to Week 17:
  • Team Week 16 Week 17 Trend
    Buccaneers+330+350
    Rams+500+450
    Cowboys+600+500
    Cardinals+850+1000
    49ers+1400+1800
    Saints+5000+6000
    Washington FT+10000+50000

  • Dec. 22: The top five spots in this market shifted following Week 16. The Packers and Buccaneers flipped at the top, with the Packers taking the No. 1 slot at +200, moving up from +275. The Buccaneers slipped from +275 to +300 after their 9-0 loss to New Orleans. The Cardinals tumbled to fifth at +850 from +500 following a loss to the Lions. The LA Rams and Dallas moved past Arizona after victories to complete the top five.. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 15 to Week 16:
  • Team Week 15 Week 16 Trend
    Packers+275+200
    Buccaneers+275+330
    Rams+600+500
    Cardinals+500+850
    49ers+1600+1400
    Eagles+4000+3500
    Saints+10000+5000
    Washington FT+8000+10000
    Falcons+25000+50000

  • Dec. 15: The Green Bay Packers held at +350 and took the solo No. 2 spot in this market behind Tampa Bay with a win over Chicago in Week 15. The Cardinals were beaten by the Rams at home and fell from +350 to +500. The Rams and Cowboys are now tied at +600. San Francisco moved up to +1600 from +1800 and is now alone in the “best value spot.” Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 14 to Week 15:

    Team Week 14 Week 15 Trend
    Buccaneers+275+225
    Cardinals+350+500
    Rams+750+600
    49ers+1800+1600
    Washington FT+5000+8000
    Seahawks+8000+10000
    Saints+8000+10000
    Giants+50000+100000
    Panthers+50000+100000
    Bears+50000+100000

  • Dec. 8: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers took the week off and saw their price nudge from +280 to +275 heading into Week 14. The Cardinals scored an easy win over Chicago and the Green Bay Packers had a bye. They both saw their price from +380 to +350. The Cowboys (+600) and Rams (+750) fill out the top five, but the Rams are moving in the wrong direction here. Washington (+5000) and San Francisco (+1800) are trending upward here and on the field. They are strong value plays here. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 13 to Week 14:

    Team Week 13 Week 14 Trend
    Buccaneers+280+275
    Cardinals+380+350
    Packers+380+350
    Cowboys+500+600
    Rams+550+750
    Vikings+3300+4000
    Eagles+5000+4000
    Washington FT+8500+5000
    Saints+6000+8000
    Seahawks+13000+8000
    Falcons+22000+25000
    Giants+34000+50000
    Bears+55000+50000

  • Nov. 30: Oddsmakers continue to favor a repeat winner in the NFC this season, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers held at +280 this week after a solid win at Indianapolis. The Cardinals held the best record in the NFL but are tied for second here with the Packers at +380. The Cowboys (+500) and Rams (+550) complete the top five. The 49ers lost considerable value moving from +2800 to +1800. Keep an eye on Washington. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 12 to Week 13:

    Team Week 12 Week 13 Trend
    Packers+490+380
    Cardinals+400+380
    Cowboys+490+500
    Rams+450+550
    49ers+2600+1800
    Vikings+2800+3300
    Eagles+3600+5000
    Saints+3600+6000
    Washington FT+13000+8500
    Seahawks+5500+13000
    Falcons+39000+22000
    Panthers+13000+25000
    Giants+55000+34000
    Seahawks+13000+37000
    Bears+100000+55000

  • Nov. 24: Oddsmakers continue to favor a repeat winner in the NFC this season, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have shortened to +280 this week after ending their two-game losing streak. The Cardinals have finally gotten some respect here, moving into the second spot at +400 despite having the best record in the NFL at 9-2. The Rams (+450), Packers (+490) and Cowboys (+490) complete the top five. There’s some value for the daring with the 49ers at +2800. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 11 to Week 12:

    Team Week 11 Week 12 Trend
    Buccaneers+310+280
    Cardinals+450+400
    Rams+420+450
    Packers+420+490
    Cowboys+470+490
    49ers+4000+2600
    Vikings+4400+2800
    Saints+2700+3600
    Eagles+5500+3600
    Seahawks+5500+13000
    Washington FT+15000+13000
    Giants+46000+55000
    Bears+39000+100000

  • Nov. 16: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers came off the bye and fell flat on their face in a 29-19 loss at Washington. Tom Brady’s NFL MVP odds were rocked after he threw a pair of picks in losing his second straight game. But the Bucs remain the favorite here at +310, holding a small edge over the Packers (+420), Rams (+420), Cardinals (+450) and Cowboys (+470). Any bettor can make the case to back, or not back, any contender in the NFC. The Bucs and Rams have lost two games in a row. The Packers, Cardinals and Cowboys each have one loss in the past two weeks. A tough market, but an honest reflection of the race. We’re still hanging with the Bucs and Packers, for now. Here’s a look at the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 10 to Week 11:

    Team Week 10 Week 11 Trend
    Buccaneers+280+310
    Packers+500+420
    Rams+350+420
    Cowboys+500+470
    Saints+2100+2700
    49ers+5500+4000
    Vikings+5500+4400
    Seahawks+4500+5500
    Eagles+9000+5500
    Panthers+28000+13000
    Falcons+10000+13000
    Washington FT+39000+15000

  • Nov. 9: It’s good to be the King. Or the GOAT. Or the GOAT-King. How good is it? Well, Tom Brady didn’t even play in Week 9 – the Bucs were on the bye – but he still leads the NFL with 25 TD passes. And he’s a close No. 2 to Buffalo QB Josh Allen when it comes to NFL MVP odds. Meanwhile, the Bucs moved from +310 to +280 and picked up a game in the loss column on Green Bay, the LA Rams, Dallas and the Saints. The Rams remained No. 2 on the board, moving from +330 to +350 after a loss to the Titans. The Cardinals, Packers and Cowboys fill out the top five, but shifted positions. Here’s a look the teams in the NFC who saw their odds shift from Week 9 to Week 10:

    Team Week 9 Week 10 Trend
    Buccaneers+310+280
    Rams+330+350
    Cardinals+550+450
    Seahawks+6000+4500
    49ers+3100+5500
    Vikings+3100+5500
    Eagles+6500+9000
    Falcons+12000+10000
    Panthers+7000+28000
    Bears+24000+39000
    Washington FT+45000+39000
    Giants+55000+46000

  • Nov. 2: The two-loss Bucs hold the top spot despite falling to the New Orleans Saints in Week 8. The Rams, Packers, Cowboys and Cardinals – all of whom have just one loss – are clustered to complete the top five. There’s no real stand-out favorite here. The Packers (+500) remain attractive and showed remarkable grit winning at Arizona in Week 8. The Bucs showed cracks against the Saints, but have hit the bye at a good time to fix what ails them for the second half. The addition of Von Miller makes the Rams (+330) great defense even greater. They are clearly all in on 2021.

    Every team in the NFC saw its odds to win the conference shift after Week 8 heading into Week 9:

    Team Week 8 Week 9 Trend
    Buccaneers+250+310
    Rams+460+330
    Packers+550+500
    Cowboys+550+500
    Cardinals+450+550
    Saints+1800+1700
    49ers+3600+3100
    Vikings+3500+3900
    Seahawks+8000+6000
    Eagles+10000+6500
    Panthers+5000+7000
    Falcons+8000+12000
    Bears+15000+24000
    Washington FT+24000+45000
    Giants+31000+55000
    Lions+55000+100000

  • Oct. 27: The Arizona Cardinals remain the lone unbeaten NFL team ahead of Week 8 and edged ahead of the Rams for No. 2 on this board behind Tampa Bay. The Bucs held at +250. The Cardinals are +450 while the Rams are +460. The Packers and Cowboys are tied for the next spot at +550. Some decent prices here.

    Here’s a look at the NFC teams whose odds to win the conference shifted after Week 7 heading into Week 8:

    Team Week 7 Week 8 Trend
    Cardinals+500+450
    Rams+450+460
    Packers+500+550
    Saints+2000+1800
    Vikings+3000+3500
    49ers+2500+3600
    Seahawks+5000+8000
    Falcons+10000+8000
    Bears+10000+15000
    Washington FT+10000+24000
    Giants+28000+31000

  • Oct. 19: The Arizona Cardinals remain the lone unbeaten NFL team ahead of Week 7, but they are tied for third in this market holding at +500 with Green Bay, but behind Tampa Bay (+250) and the LA Rams (+450). The Bucs remained No. 1 at +250. The Cowboys have wiped out their value and now stand alone in fourth place at +550.

    Here’s a look at the NFC teams whose odds to win the conference shifted after Week 6 heading into Week 7:

    Team Week 6 Week 7 Trend
    Bucs+280+250
    Rams+490+450
    Cowboys+700+550
    Saints+1700+2000
    49ers+1700+2500
    Vikings+2800+3000
    Panthers+4100+5000
    Seahawks+3200+5000
    Eagles+4400+9000
    Bears+5500+10000
    Washington FT+4800+10000

  • Oct. 12: The Arizona Cardinals remain the lone unbeaten NFL team heading into Week 6 and jumped over the Packers to move into the the third spot in this NFC Championship markets. The Cardinals have boosted their price to win the NFC from +1400 to +500 with a pair of wins over the Rams and 49ers in the past two weeks. The Rams edged up in second from +550 to +490 after handling the Seahawks on the road. The Bucs remained No. 1 at +280. The Cowboys are chewing up their value and now sit at +700, up from +1200 two weeks ago.

    Here’s a look at the NFC teams whose odds to win the conference shifted after Week 5 heading into Week 6:

    Team Week 5 Week 6 Trend
    Rams+550+490
    Cardinals+650+500
    Cowboys+900+700
    49ers+1300+1700
    Saints+1900+1700
    Vikings+3500+2800
    Seahawks+1000+3200
    Panthers+3100+4100
    Eagles+5000+4400
    Washington FT+3400+4800
    Bears+7000+5500
    Falcons+7500+10000
    Giants+8500+28000

  • Oct. 5: The Arizona Cardinals remain the lone unbeaten NFL team heading into Week 5. The Cardinals boosted their price to win the NFC from +1400 to +800 with a 37-20 trouncing of the Rams in Inglewood. The Rams slipped from +450 to +550 from the No. 2 to the No. 3 spot after the loss. The Packers are now No. 2, holding at +550 after slamming the Steelers. The Bucs remain +280 atop the board after a too-close-for-comfort outright 19-17 win at New England in the Brady Bowl.

    Here’s a look at the NFC teams whose odds to win the conference shifted after Week 4 heading into Week 5:

    Team Week 4 Week 5 Trend
    Rams+450+550
    Cardinals+1400+650
    Cowboys+1200+900
    Seahawks+1300+1000
    49ers+800+1300
    Vikings+1800+3500
    Saints+1600+1900
    Panthers+2800+3100
    Minnesota+1800+3100
    Bears+8000+7000
    Giants+10000+8500
    Lions+50000+55000

  • Sept. 28: In a possible NFC Conference Chamionship Game preview, the host LA Rams beat the Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-24 in Week 3. That outcome and Green Bay’s 30-28 win at San Francisco shuffled the deck atop the NFC Conference. Those games hbroke a three-way tie for the second spot in the conference. The Bucs held at No. 1 (+280) despite their loss. The Rams took sole possession of second at +450, while the Packers moved into the third at +550. The 49ers fell to fourth at +800.

    Here’s a look at the NFC teams whose odds to win the conference shifted after Week 3 heading into Week 4:

    Team Week 3 Week 4 Trend
    Bucs+260+280
    Rams+650+450
    Packers+650+550
    49ers+650+800
    Cowboys+1300+1200
    Seahawks+1000+1300
    Cardinals+1600+1400
    Vikings+2400+1800
    Panthers+3100+2800
    Washington FT+2300+3400
    Eagles+4100+5000
    Bears+4100+7000
    Giants+7500+10000
    Lions+25000+20000

  • Sept. 21: There are five unbeaten teams in the NFC after two weeks of play. Four of those teams play each other this week. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers moved clear of the field in NFC title odds after they crushed the Atlanta Falcons 45-28 in Week 17. Tom Brady has 9 TD passes on the season. The second tier features a three-way tie between the Rams, 49ers and Packers. All three of those teams won in Week 2 and are 2-0 along with the Bucs.

    The Rams and Bucs both saw their odds dip slightly, the Bucs to +260 from +225 and the Rams to +650 from +550. They play Sunday at Los Angeles, and the 49ers play host to the Packers Sunday night. The 2-0 Panthers are the lone wolf here and get a free pass against the Texans Thursday night in Houston. Expect much movement here next week, but these were the biggest moves after Week 2.

  • Sept. 14: The Packers were the biggest name – in terms of preseason odds to win the NFC – to fall in Week 1. Multiple upsets rocked the board and caused significant movement.
  • Sept. 7: With the start of the NFL season less than 72 hours away, prices among the favorites in the NFC experience a bit of loosening at the top, with the Bucs slipping to +300 from +275. The price on the Packers improves to +550 from +600, Meanwhile, the 49ers and Rams fall from +600 each to +650 and +700, respectively. That leaves San Francisco as the No. 3 pick in the NFC.
  • Aug. 25: The Rams' odds hold steady after the team trades for Sony Michel from New England. Michel will replace the injured Cam Akers, joining Darrell Henderson Jr. in the Rams backfield.
  • Aug. 22: Bettors take little from the Buccaneers’ preseason losses, a 19-14 setback to the Bengals and 34-3 whitewash from the Titans, as their NFC title odds actually improve to a leading +275. The Packers dip slightly from +550 to +600, creating a tie with the 49ers and Rams at the No. 2 spot.
  • July 26: The Packers become contenders again as the team and QB Aaron Rodgers come to an agreement for the QB to play in 2021. Odds level at +600.
  • May 1: The Vikings’ odds to win the NFC plummet at sportsbooks thanks in large part to the potential absence of Rodgers in Green Bay, from +2500 to +1800.
  • April 29: A bombshell report that Aaron Rodgers has demanded a trade out of Green Bay causes NFC odds for the team to rise from +450 to +1000.
  • April 29: Despite rumors about adding QB Deshaun Watson, the Panthers instead acquire Sam Darnold, which does cause their NFC odds to drop on betting apps, but only from +2500 to +2400. By early June it had risen back to +2500.
  • March 14: Future Hall of Fame QB Drew Brees announces his retirement. The Saints’ odds to win the NFC rise, but only from +900 to +1100.
  • March 13: After a flurry of re-signing players, the Buccaneers fall to +350 and take the lead in the race for the conference title.
  • Feb. 7: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers, who faced off in the 2021 NFC Championship, are +400 co-favorites to win the NFC in 2022, per the opening odds.
2022 AFC and NFC Championship Odds Tracker 2

In the 2020 offseason, Tom Brady left the cozy confines of Foxborough, where he helped build the New England Patriots into one of the premier dynasties in NFL history. He landed in Tampa Bay, and he picked up where he left off.

Brady led the Bucs to the Lombardi Trophy in a thorough win over Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Prior to that win, the Bucs edged past Aaron Rodgers and the top-seeded Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship despite Rodgers outplaying Brady and Green Bay statistically dominating the game.

For the Bay teams, the 2021 offseason proved kinder to Tampa than Green. Everyone re-signed for the Bucs, making them the first defending champion in decades to return all 22 starters. Meanwhile, Rodgers protested Packers management before ultimately joining the team in training camp in what may be his final year in Titletown.

Those two teams are the NFL odds favorites in the race for the NFC Championship with the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks – all residing in the NFC West – battling to join the mix.

NFC Conference Trends

All About O: Similar to the AFC, it takes a lot of points to win conference championships, more than it takes defensive stops. Five of the last six NFC winners scored 31-plus points to clinch the Super Bowl trip, and all scored at least 26. Half the time the champs scored 37 or more.

Just Short: The Packers have lost two straight NFC title games. The last team to drop the big one three straight times was the Eagles from 2001-2003. In 2004 they won the NFC crown.

About the Author

Bill Speros for Bookies.com
Bill Speros
Bill Speros is an award-winning journalist and editor whose career includes stops at USA Today Sports Network / Golfweek, Cox Media, ESPN, Orlando Sentinel and Denver Post.